Nancy Pelosi and several members of the US Congress have tech-heavy investment portfolios that have generated triple-digit returns over the past decade.
According to the alternative data platform Quiver Quantitative, replicating Nancy Pelosi's stock trades would have yielded returns exceeding 720% since May 2014.
A person like that doesn't handle her own portfolio, and their trades are public. Nothing prevented you from trading the exact same stonks they did.
Politicians shouldn't trade because they can still manipulate the bigger picture, favor corporations and move the economy a certain way. Not because they are sitting on Robin Hood at night making money.
While not technically insider trading because they don't work for the companies they're trading, they definitely have access to privileged macro economic knowledge
I think she and her fellow insider traders have a different perspective of what is or isn’t a ‘good look’. Will the news affect her negatively? No. Could it affect her positively? Absolutely, within her circle. Good look.
It's no real secret. Her husband has been buying tech stock LEAPS this whole time. Her portfolio took a huge hit during the tech sector downturn a few years back. Paul doubled down on the tech stocks which have all shot way back up. He put a bunch of money on Nvidia during the GPU shortage well before all this bullshit AI run. Nvidia is up something stupid like 800% since then.
If anything I'd bet it's because she's connected in Silicon Valley. Nancy has the same info everyone in Congress would. But since her district is in the bay area she gets to rub elbows with the right people.
Professional portfolio managers, who do this for a living, with teams of intelligent and educated people working for them, struggle to consistently outperform the market in any meaningful sense.
if you're willing it risk it and use leverage (borrow money to multiply your return, but also multiplies the down sides) sure she could've aimed for the moon. but theres no need to be risky when you're her age and already rich and have a crystal ball.
I know people who have worked in corporate acquisitions and there are a ton of controls in place to limit information access and prevent the mere appearance of privelged information being used for personal gain. Likewise in other industries like utilities there are pretty complex regulations to prevent companies from getting even a few cents per kilowatt hour advantage, etc. and all this shit has multimillion dollar fines attached.
Congress could definitely adopt a rule that bans trading stocks for anyone who receives classified or nonpublic industry-specific information as part of security briefings or their committee assignments. Or hell, just limit congresspeople to index funds or generic portfolios managed by external fiduciaries, while in office.
It seems that if both Gaetz/Cruz types and AOC agree on this, they could get it done, but the establishment politicians don't want to because they view it as a perk of the job.
AOC and others should just set up an environmentally friendly index based on their inside information. Republicans will put rules in place the same day.
just looking at the website, you can tell the target audience is specifically the 1% who want republicans to win. it'll be the same shit with pretty much anything with "business" or "financial" or "economy" in the name of the site
so yea, they will NEVER talk about the insider trading, cheating, fraud, etc. done by republicans
But even in social media, people have been so focused on her while ignoring that she's never #1 (heck, in 2022 she got beat by the S&P500) that I can't help but wonder if there's some underlying misogyny that explains it...
Why is buying LEAPS of the biggest tech growth stocks in the S&P 500 wrong? That's literally Paul's strategy. It isn't much of a secret.
He's even lost money plenty of times on individual trades. He sold out of a 25,000 share Nvidia position. That at the time would have been worth around $600k. Had they held that position it would be worth $31M or so now. That's a huge miss for someone supposedly getting insider info.
Copying a comment from a couple of weeks ago, the source is the website that made everyone really start paying attention to her by posting an infographic that made it easy to visualize the gains compared to the S&P500 but somehow it's only Pelosi that people complain about
2021 she's 6th behind 5 Republicans, 2022 she's under the S&P500 in 27th place, 2023 she's in 9th place
I presume it's because she's seen in somewhat of a "senior leadership" position.
Johnny Beluga, the esteemed congressman from butt-munch, Iowa might have five times more illicit gains than her, but no one knows who he is, so fewer people would watch the news to hear about him.
Man, someone needs to create an index fund which just follows their moves. If we're not going to punish obvious corruption we might as well get something out of it.
She's the most consistently well off Democrat trader, as well as occasional speaker of the house of representatives, so the right shits on her and so does the left.
TBH I'm not that against her, she helped pass the transparency laws we currently have over traders in congress, and all of "her" trades are due solely to the fact that when she was in college she married a guy who now owns an investment firm. All of his trades belong to her by nature of joint assets. One of her most notorious trades was when VISA attempted to give her husband some amazing stock options before a big vote on regulations on creditors, of which he bought, and then she voted against VISA's interests for the regulations. Paul still made a profit, though.
Looks like NANC is for all Democrat member trades, and KRUZ is for all Republican member trades. If you're wondering, NANC has +32% standardized pre-tax returns, while KRUZ has +19.1% standardized pre-tax returns.
Semi unrelated question (also only semi serious): is there a program or script that can follow a person's trades and make similar trades? Or is she one that, by the time the public knows, it's already too late to jump on the bandwagon?
There is a congressional rule that requires individual stock trades of certain amounts to be publicly disclosed within 45 days. However this is apparently not really enforced right now.
Some bipartisan congresspeople have proposed more restrictive rules and bans on stock trading, but those efforts haven't gained traction yet.
etoro is a broker that allows you to "copy trade" popular investors and portfolios, which mimc trades according to how much capital you have invested, though Nancy ain't gonna be on there
There's also ETFs such as ARK which are easy to get into, are managed by the likes of Cathie Wood and if they're doing a good job, only go up
Biggest regret in the last 15 years is not getting into it earlier tbh, if you have even a passing interest in trading, open a mock account (or a real one with some money you don't mind "losing") and just have a go - it's very simple nowadays. Gone are the days where you need to pay $10 to a broker to even make a trade
One of biggest crooks but not the biggest by far. Anyone who isn't in government and gets that kind of return would have all the financial bureaucracies all up their ass.
That's pretty good, and if you can maintain that, you'll have 400% in 9 years.
700% in a decade is very unlikely, without either insider trading or tremendous luck.
I'm personally at 39% also for about 3 years, and AFAIK that's slightly better than average.
I'm surprised everyone focuses on insider trading. To me the much bigger risk is: shouldn't your decisions affecting the country be unaffected by stocks you own? If you own $10 million of Apple stock for example, how does that affect your vote on an antitrust law? This is a problem even if there's no inside information.
These sites were collecting hand-transcribed data from congress trading disclosures. Unfortunately, the disclosures were almost always made long after the trades. Perhaps that's why no volunteers have been transcribing data recently.
I've almost recovered from the 2008 crash. That's what I get for investing all my money into the local Arby's. Who knew their food would actually kill you?
She is a stock trader who is bought by the owner-class while happily doing their bidding, like most of our politicians. There are reasons why they are allowed to be career politicians.
While AOC tries and fails to be her protégé, who knows she still has a lot of time, and looking at her record, she is well on her way to becoming the new Pelosi.
According to the alternative data platform Quiver Quantitative, replicating Nancy Pelosi's stock trades would have yielded returns exceeding 720% since May 2014. Despite these impressive returns, the former House Speaker continues to face criticism for alleged insider trading and the potential introduction of new trade ban rules for Congress members.
Many have speculated that the California representative and other members of Congress benefit from insider information about laws likely to impact stock prices. For instance, the 2022 CHIPS Act, which offered subsidies for the semiconductor industry, has been a point of contention. Pelosi and her husband, Paul, sold 25,000 Nvidia shares at a loss when Congress approved the Act but later purchased Nvidia call options in significant quantities, as reported by Unusual Whales.
In November 2023, Pelosi acquired 50 Nvidia call options with a strike price of $120 and an expiration date of December 2024, well before Nvidia's 10-for-1 stock split. "That was definitely one that caught a lot of people's attention," noted Quiver Quantitative CEO James Kardatzke in an interview with Business Insider.
For Nvidia investors, it might be reassuring to know that Nancy Pelosi is not the only member of Congress buying Nvidia shares. Representatives Morgan McGarvey of Kentucky and Stephen Lynch of Massachusetts have also added shares of the AI chipmaker to their portfolios.
Pelosi's trades attract significant attention, but she is one of many Congress members with a portfolio generating substantial returns. Republican Representative Dan Meuser of Pennsylvania has Nvidia as one of his top portfolio holdings, returning 512.8% since August 2019 and over 103% in one year. Similarly, Democratic Senator Sheldon Whitehouse of Rhode Island has invested significantly in the "magnificent seven" stocks: Nvidia, Apple, Amazon, Microsoft, and Alphabet. His portfolio has returned over 492% since February 2014 and over 50% in one year.
Many popular online trackers monitor the trades of US government officials based on the philosophy of "if you can't beat them, join them." ...Given that the STOCK Act of 2012 requires Congress members to report trading activities within 45 days of execution, the trade completion date isn't known until much later.
While AOC tries and fails to be her protégé, who knows she still has a lot of time, and looking at her record, she is well on her way to becoming the new Pelosi.
AOC doesn't buy stock and is against trading for people in her position