What are the odds that extreme weather will lead to a global food shock? The insurance giant Lloyd’s evaluated the risks in a recent study.
What are the odds that extreme weather will lead to a global food shock? The insurance giant Lloyd’s evaluated the risks in a recent study.
The insurance giant Lloyd's evaluated the risks in a recent study.
The report looked at “major,” “severe,” and “extreme” scenarios. The authors found that the “major” case would cost the world $3 trillion over a five-year period, which they estimated has a 2.3% chance of happening per year. Over a 30-year period, those odds equate to about a 50% probability of occurrence — assuming the risks are not increasing each year, which they are.
IMHO increasing food insecurity across the globe will be one of the major issues driven by climate change. If crops fail repeatedly it is not gonna go well for society.
That's one of the reasons I wanted to be sure we have an area for a garden at our house. I'd like to be as self sufficient as possible, so that we're less impacted by all of the shortages we've seen over the last few years. The shortages will become more common in the future.
Solid thinking. But how big a garden does a family need? And will you always be allowed enough water for it?
My lawn is pretty much gone after the drought we've had for a couple years now. Not sure I'm going to re-plant grass if this is the new normal. And not sure how to know what the new normal is.
Every society is three meals away from chaos. I guess that's still valid.
I think I’ve driven past that trailer before. It’s off the 5 freeway in California’s Central Valley. The guy who puts them up is not a climate activist. He’s just very Republican and blames Gavin Newsom and the Democrats for water being expensive in California.
You're right! I've seen that too. It's near the billboards that say "pray for rain".
Is this comment responding to the wrong thing?
The thumbnail on the preview card and the header image in the article is what I meant.
The trailer is in the thumbnail.
oh yeah and some folks will die but what can we do about the trillions???!!!
Lack of food and water will lead to war, and the war machine will pump even more carbon into our atmosphere, leading to more drought and less food and water. It's a self-sustaining cycle and I've no idea how we avoid it at this point.
Good water recycling systems (and desalination systems for those on the coast) combined with low cost and distributed synth bio based food production (i.e. precision fermentation, or biomass fermentation) could help relieve some of the strain on the food and water needs.
Don't worry, the nuclear winter will cancel it out.