yeah, honestly, if you zoom out summary level, the whole thing is so confusing.
I'll admit I wasn't paying attention, so high-level he seemed like a Tony Stark, liberal darling: investing in space, internet access, electric cars, and solar. I mean, the dude was set to be a left-wing mascot. Boy was I an idiot. But I admit I wasn't paying close attention to any early flags.
Honestly, same. I liked him up till he called that dude a pedo for saving those kids before he could. He seemed cool up till then for the most part then holy shit did he nosedive.
He was on track for that for sure. But he had two crippling flaws: anti union, and ego obsessed jackass.
The first is obvious how it went down. We like unions, he’s deep in the Californian ideology that caused conflict and he rejected the left aspects of that ideology because of what appears to be a lack of emotional regulation. And that’s where the second comes into play here. It’s also partly because the left is vicious. We kill our heroes to an unhealthy degree.
All that aside, they've also been floundering lately and lacking in any substantial new developments. Self driving isn't really progressing, their line-up hasn't seen any refreshes, no new features, and all they have to show for it is a Cybertruck with a bunch of issues and delays that probably wasn't going to sell well to begin with.
This really isn’t surprising. Their market cap was larger than the whole of the rest of the auto industry combined. Had to come back to earth eventually.
I wanted to short it because it was obviously overvalued but I was absolutely not confident it would come down because I will always believe there are greater fools among the Tesla shareholders.
Something about how the market can stay irrational longer than you can remain solvent…
Michael Burry, who shorted the housing market in 2008 and made big upfront payments for that bet also shorted Tesla in the last couple years, but bailed because it was too risky for him.
When a gold rush happens, the people getting rich are the ones selling shovels. That's what NVIDIA is doing, and it was what they were doing with the crypto gold rush. It makes them a decent short term investment. When AI crashes, they will probably lose some value if they can't find a new technology gold rush. But even when the gold rush ends, AI will be here and be wanted, so NVIDIA has a place, has profit potential. Just like the .com bust of the early 2000s. Most of those companies bankrupted, but it wasn't like we abandoned the Internet.
The number one app for companies right now is "we can replace a lot of people and save a ton of money", specifically look at the chatbot assistants you see on websites. Once they get the kinks worked out there, I guarantee they'll have a talking version that will replace call center workers. And that's only the beginning.
They've already run the numbers and figured the upfront costs are worth it. Occasional maintenance/cooling/upgrades/tech support is still going to be cheaper than FICA/Medicare/401K matching/PTO/maternity leave/overtime/workman's comp/running a huge HR department/family day barbecues, etc.
Just trading one type of equipment for another, in their eyes.
Oh there are practical applications if you know where to look. For instance I'm training a trading AI to spot patterns in numbers and indicators that aren't necessarily common knowledge.
Well, it's a bit surprising that Tesla is the worst-performing stock so far. I mean, the Boeing scandal was a disaster image-wise, and others are struggling real hard. But even with all that, Tesla is performing worse than the airplane manufacturer, who can't build secure and quality-controlled aircraft. The tide is turning for Tesla. Competition is getting stronger and starting to roll out strategies like the BMW 50% 2025 Plan, which means Tesla as an electric automobile manufacturer has dire times ahead if they don't start fixing things.
Tesla long stopped delivering on promises they, or rather Musk, made. They need something other than words and visions to sell, and fast, otherwise, the stock is going to normalize more and more, to a degree a mid-sized automobile manufacturer would be, as the shareholders slowly start losing faith and jumping ship, as long as the stock is overvalued and there are buyers.
Not really. It still has a price to book ratio of 9.10, which is still ridiculous for a car company.
For comparison:
Toyota is 1.21
Ford is 1.05
Honda is 0.66
VW is 0.38
Nissan is 0.36
The price-to-book ratio, or P/B ratio, is a financial ratio used to compare a company's current market value to its book value (where book value is the value of all assets minus liabilities owned by a company).