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Bulletins and News Discussion from March 24th to March 30th, 2025 - The Genocide Continues - COTW: Qatar

Image is of Gazans breaking their fast with the Iftar meal during the ongoing Ramadan.

Due to a request by @miz@hexbear.net, this thread's COTW is Qatar.


The ceasefire deal broke down early last week after Israel unilaterally changed the terms of the agreement and then blamed Hamas for not meeting them. Violence against civilians has rapidly accelerated to pre-ceasefire levels, with many hundreds dead already, aid once again cut off, and Israeli soldiers once again entering and occupying the attritional labyrinth that is Gaza.

I'm not yet in a position to make any solid predictions or analysis, as the geopolitical situation in and around Israel has changed fairly substantially over the last 6 months; in some ways benefiting Israel, and in other ways not. We know for sure how Hamas and Ansarallah are reacting (thankfully, with open hostility to both Israel and the United States), but the state of Hezbollah has been a giant question mark for months now, and precisely what Iran plans to do (beyond the usual level of supplying weaponry and intelligence to all the allies it can) is unknown. Syria will be almost certainly be a big wildcard, and we'll have to see if the compradors in Damascus can weather the storm.


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  • After ex-President Jair Bolsonaro was formally charged with leading an armed criminal organization to plot a military coup by the Supreme Court today, he said, "discussing hypotheses isn't a crime." Not only is he wrong, he's confessed again. I'll explain why here: Bolsonaro's argument that merely discussing a coup is not illegal fails because:

    1. Intent matters: If discussions involve planning, recruitment, or incitement, they cross into criminal conspiracy.
    1. National security laws do not require the coup to succeed—preparatory acts (like organizing meetings, securing weapons, or drafting plans) are already crimes;
    1. Brazilian courts have ruled that even theoretical planning can be punishable if it shows a concrete threat to democracy.

    In Tokyo, Brazil's President Lula said there's no use for ex-President Bolsonaro to pretend he's being persecuted. "It's clear that the ex-president tried to stage a coup in Brazil. It is clear that he tried to help plan my assassination. "and the assassinations of the vice president and the former president of the Brazilian Electoral Court. [...] He knows what he did. There's no use begging for amnesty before the trial, that amounts to saying, 'I'm guilty.' He should focus on trying to prove his innocence."

    Twitter

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