Biden is on track to beat inflation and lose the presidency

Uh, there are several recent polls that have Biden ahead, while Democrats have been over-performing polls by about 9 points in recent elections.

It's become so noticable that US News did an article about it.

Don’t believe anything polls say. They don’t really qualify those polled very well, and they’re piss poor at capturing the actual true demographics of the voting community.
It’s best to always assume your vote is direly needed.
538 has been reliable in the past elections. They show an almost-tied race with Trump slightly ahead: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/national/
- Nate Silver is no longer at 538.
  There are different people running the models these days.
- Wasn't 538 wrong about Trump winning in 2016 though?
Vox kinda sucks, to be fair.
- Could you expand on that?

God damnit america, it doesn't matter. Go out and vote.

Biden needs to do more for the lower/middle class and put bibi in his places then tell him no more trade.

While it would be great if the US weren't unilaterally supporting the actions of the Israeli government, unfortunately a major shift from that foreign policy position would likely only receive substantial support from the people already likely to vote Democrat, or anti-Trump at the very least. It would likely be spun by media outlets that are either generally conservative or simply biased in favor of the Israel government in such a way that would push moderates towards Trump. As Trump would only increase the country's support of the Israeli military, it's more important to avoid him being elected to avoid a worse situation in the long run.
- It's 5 months to the election. How long has Gaza got? It already seems too late.
- People already materially demonstrated that you're incorrect though during the primaries in multiple states, that's what the Uncommitted vote was, a message saying "I will only vote for you if you resist this genocide." And they did this in numbers that are comparable to his win margins from 2020.
  Now, it could be argued that Biden has wasted too much time and let too many people die since then, but there is no sign that not supporting the genocide would hurt him.
  He's not making up the ground with his push for fascist immigration policy either, he's literally just alienating more voters the further he goes to the right because republicans are not ever going to vote for him, and anyone in the progressive center isn't going to go for illegal asylum denial policies.

There's a lot wrong about this article, there's so much to unpack:

"Thus, the idea that Biden is personally responsible for the surge of inflation in 2022 — and that he cannot be trusted to effectively manage the economy for that reason — appears deeply rooted in voters’ minds."

That's not why Biden isn't trusted on inflation, the reason he's not trusted is because when people tell him the economy is bad and they're hurting, he ignores their personal experience and rolls back on "What are you talking about, Jack? Economy's great!"

https://www.inquirer.com/opinion/biden-economy-inflation-elections-prices-20240429.html

"The fact that wages have been rising much faster than prices for more than a year has left no dent on this impression."

Because the only way to reap the benefits of rising wages is to change jobs. People remaining in the same job have seen stagnant wage growth.

https://www.resumebuilder.com/half-of-companies-may-not-give-cost-of-living-raises-in-2024/

So inflation is going up, wages are stagnant, that means you're effectively getting a pay cut and the President goes "What's wrong, man? Look at the GDP!"

The same goes for a decline in rental prices. You don't see the decrease if you're in a lease. If you move you might get a break.

"Another few months of falling inflation could move the needle a bit, but there’s little reason to assume that such a development will dramatically change public opinion."

Inflation is not falling, it's increasing slower than it was. Last month it went up 3.3%, the month before, 3.5%. The fact that it went up .2% slower than before doesn't mean it's going down.

in the store today for a five pack of denver steaks which were about $10 beginning of last week
today when purchased the same pack it was about $20
same with every other grocery item in the store prices just keep going up and never down
- Blame Reagan. Turns out that getting rid of that pesky government oversight did allow corporations to thrive... At the cost of consumers. It's been a long slide, but the pandemic showed companies just how much they can get away with.
  There's like 3 major airlines, 3 cell providers, and 10 companies that make most of your groceries. Profits are up, and so are prices. Competition is all but dead. To quote Highlander, "There can be only one."
- I'm not going to be polite about liars like you. Every time inflation is mentioned someone comes out of the woodwork and claims preposterous inflation. I buy steaks both from the local grocery and the local butcher. Prices did not double last week for me or anyone else in the US.
  https://www.ams.usda.gov/mnreports/lswbfrtl.pdf
- Red meat is likely to cause cancer it is also destroying the environment, requires massive subsidies, land and water to stay relatively low cost and the workers in meat processing plants are suffering relentlessly.
  I would instead suggest beans, lentils, tofu , tempeh or seitan.