China is merging hundreds of small banks to fend off financial stress
China is merging hundreds of small banks to fend off financial stress

China is merging hundreds of small banks to fend off financial stress

China is merging hundreds of small banks to fend off financial stress
China is merging hundreds of small banks to fend off financial stress
more evergrande fallout or something else?
They're trying to authoritarian their way out of a massive speculation bubble.
I don't think it will work, unless you can will away a black hole. Debt is a kind of gravity.
You mean if you can pick up enough speed in the transverse direction you can circle around it and never hit it?
If they're external creditors, it makes it a lot easier for them to go "nope, not paying that, what are you going to do?" when they're one massive state-backed monolith.
that depends on who the creditors are and how they demand payment. a pound of flesh or a dove feather. evergrande went bust at the same time china became the world biggest auto exporter. i think china participation in the global economy demands new economic theories, considering the promiscuity between the public sector and the "private" sector.
Uh... no. If you pay attention to history, debt can and is wiped away without repercussion.
Debt is more of a threat, than anything else. If China fails to pay their debts, does the world just stop doing business with China?
The reason why there's so much unpaid debt is because the ruling class has convinced workers to sell themselves out. That's all. It doesn't actually need to be paid just like college loans. The world would in fact be a better place if it wasn't paid. The only people who get screwed are investors with more money than you.
Evergrande was not a triggering event, it was an inevitable consequence. The CCP's fiscal policy has driven "growth at all costs" for over 40 years now and they are running out of free runway. Their "private" sector (a bit of a misnomer considering how government-driven basically every company is over there) acquiesced to these government demands for growth, especially in real estate, long after traditional market fundamentals were saying to slow down, and now those "private" companies are saddled with investments without any way to make money off them post-pandemic. And their markets have realized that before the party did.
The party is only just now waking up to the fact that they can't keep hitting GDP growth targets by pumping stimulus into their businesses and that their economy needs to begin maturing into a more stable form. We will not see a real "collapse" like some doomsday fans love to parrot, but there is a very large correction about to happen to their economic projections, in both GDP and demographics.
"Growth at all costs" is the fiscal policy of the US as well, what's the difference between the US and China in this regard? If it's a matter of government intervention, let's not forget the ridiculous amount of money pumped into the market thanks to actions from the fed. The interest rate has been increased after such a long time of near-zero rates, but there is already begging for rate cuts.
It could mirror the economic stagnation of Japan that begun in the 1990s. Very similar set of circumstances.