Trump has taken the lead over Harris for first time in 538 forecast.

Still, a word of caution: You might be tempted to make a big deal about our forecast “flipping” to Trump, but it’s important to remember that a 52-in-100 chance for Trump is not all that different from a 58-in-100 chance for Harris — both are little better than a coin flip for the leading candidate. While Trump has undeniably gained some ground over the past couple weeks, a few good polls for Harris could easily put her back in the “lead” tomorrow. Our overall characterization of the race — that it’s a toss-up — remains unchanged.

I think it’s funny posts like this get downvoted when it’s just polls and statistics.

I hope it will get upvoted so more people see it and get inspired to vote!