This is an opinion piece they are really really reaching with.
Conservatives have been running this for a few days now but it just doesn't add up. At least for the US it flies in the face of all published polling, including what they claim as sources. Unless you look at Gen Z men skewing independent and take that as them becoming more conservative because you only see the political spectrum as D/I/M.
But that's not what being an independent means. It isn't a party. It's literally not having a party.
I forgot to add, there's also the Roe effect. The overturning of Roe has pushed women left in the US.