I'm sort of okay with driverless trains — they are pretty much/ideally limited to the railway tracks. This has too many possibilities for error for my taste.
Took the bus a lot as a kid/young adult. Some bus drivers were nice, but most were rude or basically had no impact on my commute. I've had a driver hit on me and then miss my stop multiple times after I declined. At least where I am, busses don't stop at all stops unless there's someone that needs to be picked up or dropped off and will regularly just skip stops if they're running behind, regardless of how packed the bus or stop is. Have a bike, or need wheelchair access? The bus driver is going to give you attitude the whole time, if they stop for you at all. Some bus drivers were nice and would remember you and say hi, or help people who had questions, but it was a minority in my experience.
I'm not saying we're ready to move to AI, but I can't imagine what kind of positive they're adding to your life that it is seen as a valid reason to keep them if they're not actually needed. Like if they're actually nice people, I would love to make sure they're working jobs that need to be done and could use the injection of positivity you're describing.
This is a very good point. It makes me a bit uneasy, even though it is still better than driverless cars. Aside from this, I also have mixed feelings about the fact that every pound being put into development and purchasing of these busses could have been put into the expansion of existing routes...
And it's not even something that would drastically improve my experience if it was fully successful. Busses are already one of the safest modes, being safer than trains in several countries. Maybe I've missed something and someone can correct me, but this feels like throwing money at technology for technology's sake.
Yeah, the reasoning seems to have been "Think how much we'll save on driver salaries! Plus, the computer will never unionise or cause a fuss about hours." That's the only arguments I can think of.
At the same time, I can think of several times I've been glad to have a human driver on the bus, mostly to do with obnoxious fellow travelers...
The advantage of busways is that they're a lot cheaper to build than trains. You just need some paint on pavement to build a dedicated bus lane. All you have to really build are some nice bus stops. The big problem with trains is vertical and horizontal alignment. You can't just lay train tracks on top of an existing road system. Cars and buses can handle much greater slopes and perform much steeper turns than trains can.
For example, you can make a busway over an existing road bridge, without any need to rebuild the bridge itself. But you can't just slap some train tracks on an existing road bridge, as the train would be unable to make it up the slopes designed for car traffic.
My conclusion is not that we need to replace all the buses with trains, it's that I'm not okay with replacing manned buses with unmanned ones. Unmanned trains, I'd be fine with, but just keep the manned buses.
Agreed - in my area busses drive on dedicated bus routes with no other vehicles. Realistically, they should be trollies. There's no reason that it couldn't be automated.
For how janky driverless cars can be, I am not optimistic that we're close. I wouldn't want a huge bus full of people getting confused on the road. If driverless cars didn't require so much human intervention to function normally, I would have a different feeling.
I think that driverless busses are probably much less of a dramatic change than driverless cars.
If you have one person in a car driving to work and the car is fully-self-driving, then you free up one person's time. You potentially change where parking is practical. You may permit people who cannot drive a car to use one, like young or elderly.
With a bus, the passengers are already free to do what they want. You're saving labor costs on a bus driver, maybe getting a safer vehicle. But I'd call that an evolutionary change.
In 2020/21, the number of buses amounted to 37800 in Great Britain.
Those probably get heavier use than cars. But you want scale, since driverless vehicle costs are mostly fixed, and driver labor costs variable. You're talking about not having maybe 38k people driving. You need to cover all of your costs out of that. That's not nothing, but...okay, how many tractor-trailers are out there?
Heavy goods vehicle registrations bounced back above their pre-pandemic levels in 2021, reaching 504,600 vehicles in circulation.
If you have driverless trucks, that's an order-of-magnitude difference in vehicle count from busses in the UK.
I'm not saying that there aren't wins possible with self-driving busses. But it doesn't seem to me to be the vehicle type with the greatest potential improvement from being self-driving.