Bulletins and News Discussion from October 14th to October 20th, 2024 - Paper Tigers
Image is a frame taken from this video of Iranian missiles raining down on Israel without interception due to a weak and depleted air defense system after a year of war and genocide.
Mao, 1956:
Now U.S. imperialism is quite powerful, but in reality it isn't. It is very weak politically because it is divorced from the masses of the people and is disliked by everybody and by the American people too. In appearance it is very powerful but in reality it is nothing to be afraid of, it is a paper tiger. Outwardly a tiger, it is made of paper, unable to withstand the wind and the rain. I believe the United States is nothing but a paper tiger.
When we say U.S. imperialism is a paper tiger, we are speaking in terms of strategy. Regarding it as a whole, we must despise it. But regarding each part, we must take it seriously. It has claws and fangs. We have to destroy it piecemeal. For instance, if it has ten fangs, knock off one the first time, and there will be nine left, knock off another, and there will be eight left. When all the fangs are gone, it will still have claws. If we deal with it step by step and in earnest, we will certainly succeed in the end.
Strategically, we must utterly despise U.S. imperialism. Tactically, we must take it seriously. In struggling against it, we must take each battle, each encounter, seriously. At present, the United States is powerful, but when looked at in a broader perspective, as a whole and from a long-term viewpoint, it has no popular support, its policies are disliked by the people, because it oppresses and exploits them. For this reason, the tiger is doomed. Therefore, it is nothing to be afraid of and can be despised. But today the United States still has strength, turning out more than 100 million tons of steel a year and hitting out everywhere. That is why we must continue to wage struggles against it, fight it with all our might and wrest one position after another from it. And that takes time.
Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful. Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section. Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war. Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis. Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.
Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.
Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:
Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.
https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language. https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one. https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts. https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel. https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator. https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps. https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language. https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language. https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses. https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.
The vassalization of Europe is now complete. The Ukraine war has succeeded in turning Europe away from China as an export market, and towards the US. In other words, Europe now depends on the US for security, energy and its consumer market.
This is to be expected because Europe now needs to earn dollars to pay for its energy bill, and to earn dollars you gotta sell stuff to Americans. America gets free stuff from a dependent Europe simply by starting a war between Ukraine and Russia.
europe became an american appendage since the marshall plan, then fully after the suez crisis and completely after the war of economic aggression against the east bloc nations.
Yeah people talk about Putin being naive or whatever but if his plans had worked, Russia would be in an incredible spot right now. US just preferred to cripple its own vassals over "losing" them
Europe now depends on the US for security, energy and its consumer market
Not really sure how the graph is supposed to indicate any sort of drastic change in this regard. The share of exports to the PRC is 4/9 (44.(4)%) that of the share of exports to the US, which seems to not differ that much from the pre-COViD ratio of about 49%. This is also obviously much better than the situation in the 2000s (pre-crisis ratio in 2007 being 25%, for example).
NATO Europe has been subservient to the US since the end of WW2.
This is not true though. There have been numerous major attempts at rebellion from the Europeans and every time they had to be put in their place
I am going to note that you assert that with the only proof being that Europe never could defy the US since WW2. In other words, Europe has been subservient to the US since WW2.
When you say "permanently", that's only as long as the USA is still a hegemonic power. How long do you think they'll continue to be able to control the world through threats of violence? How well will threats of nuclear strikes work against a union where several countries also have nukes?
I think the US strategy is to call everyone’s bluff about nukes. No country would be willing to use their nukes as first strike (maybe apart from Israel and the US itself) so as long as countries are backing down from doing so, the US gets to keep bullying the others.
And we have to remember that the MAD is not a proven deterrence. It just hasn’t failed, yet.
I mean, they could earn dollars by selling to the global South that is dollar-laden, but then they've have to sell at rates closer to the non-imperialized value.