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meth_dragon [none/use name]
meth_dragon [none/use name] @ meth_dragon @hexbear.net
Posts
6
Comments
216
Joined
3 yr. ago

  • best place for us to escalate is europe. logistics are easiest, most number of stooges to send to get killed, most politically captured, decent amount of capital to redirect.

    second by a wide margin is israel, logistics are bad, iran's too far away and has already been sanctioned to death, israel is tiny and the opponents that are actually targetable are a bunch of non state actors engaging in protracted people's war with islamic characteristics.

    third is asia. bunch of opportunistic islands all well within range of chinese strategic deterrence. us lost the korean war when it was at its most dominant, unlikely that it and its proxies will win round two.

    this is a message intended to deter the dprk from intervening as much as it might in eastern europe when the nato/russia conflict eventually kicks off and the russia/dprk mutual defense treaty is invoked.

  • this is just strategic posturing to prevent dprk forces from intervening in europe, those 1.4 million dudes are all gonna end up in belarus

    considering they just set up nato northern land command in finland last month, it seems manifestation of the finno korean hyperwar continues apace

  • historically, the chinese are always either invading the korean peninsula, or they're defending it. as of now, north korea is the only country with which china has a mutual defense treaty (of note here is that north korea recently signed a mutual defense treaty with russia back in june). political arrangements aside, it has been and will remain a major geostrategic imperative so long as china retains control of the northeastern provinces, one whose importance is comparable to or likely even exceeds that of taiwan.

  • i think it's becoming more and more clear that russia and china have mostly achieved strategic overmatch in northeast asia. obviously, this is in large part due to the complete lack of depth of all the us lackeys in the area, but there are logistical elements to consider, as well as iran's spectacular showcasing of the ineffectiveness of western air defences in general. additionally, the constituency and elites of japan and samsung are ideologically less captured than america's european satrapies, if only due to language differences. japan in particular, being the largest and perhaps most loyal running dog, has been very cautiously testing the waters via more extroverted trade policies in asean since the two plaza accords and has engaged in... well, strange and uncharacteristic behavior that could be interpreted as reconciliatory in recent months. as such, it seems unlikely that imperial provocations in the region will be met with as much success as they have in ukraine.

    on the contrary, northeast asia at this point is more of a liability than anything. if we generously assume that the imperialists do well in all their efforts elsewhere, then the korean peninsula can serve as an anti-imperialist release valve to divert pressure away from the other fronts. this is amplified by the fact that the imperialists are running a war of optics and narrative, and the bad optics of allowing allies to be categorically abandoned is worse than actually losing men and materiel. conversely, if the imperialists are on the backfoot, then it follows that activation of this theater will only serve to stretch them even further. it goes without saying that the american best case scenario is for both japan and samsung to obediently destroy themselves against the asiatic hordes of the east, but the possibility of this happening really hinges on american successes (that is, successful displays of continuing american dominance and thus legitimacy) in the european and mena theaters.

    overall, it feels like america is in a bit of a bind at the moment. the only way it can win is if it can indirectly get its vassals to destroy themselves, but the only way it can for sure get its vassals to destroy themselves completely is through a successful direct intervention.

    tldr; no, because the world's most based millenial will just initiate bakhmut 2: ballistic boogaloo and turn seoul into the moon 10 hours after hostilities commence. also they won't be able to get him because word on the street is that they had him send his guys to teach the irgc how to build tunnels.

  • depends on how yappy ishiba ends up being ig

    doubt much will come of it, the us is overleveraged in other theatres and will likely be unable to force japan to do things too far outside japanese self interest

  • jsdf is japanese self defense force, used to be similar cases were classified under such and such clause that foreign military forces had to seek approval from korean congress to be able to access korea, but this time they nudged the definition of "temporary stay" so as to allow the jsdf to bypass congressional approval apparently

  • korea opened its us military bases to 'temporary' stays by the jsdf. used to require congressional approval, now nothing. no western sources but do get kr/jp/cn hits.

  • Denmark's First Step Over a Bottomless Chinese Abyss

    danish man with a balancing rod tentatively inching forward on a tightrope strung over a massive hole filled with chinese people

  • i think hezbollah has the right idea with the golf carts, you get more mount options and you can carry like six people for an admittedly higher price point

    but i guess if you really need the dump bed and are looking for a cost effective solution...

  • listening to some pretty wild theories about how nato/us is going to majorly escalate in europe before elections because the us is unwilling to directly intervene in the middle east and, other than israel, doesn't really have any proxies in the area that can reliably go to bat for it. unlike in europe, where you have the baltics and the rest of nato baying for russian blood. best part about the prediction is that once the escalation happens we'll get to see a dprk intervention in belarus. cant tell if the dude is serious or is just manifesting finno korean hyperwar energies.

  • noise floating around about for a few days now about they got his successor as well, unconfirmed

  • sorry, theyre all chrome forks

  • there is speculation that the pager attacks caused hez to fall back on more modern, compromised lines of communication that israel took advantage of.

  • i feel like iran getting played like a fiddle was kind of a suffering from success kind of deal. unlike russia, who was left with basically no strategic depth after 2014, iran broke out of the encirclement of the early 2000s and has had israel on the ropes with pressure from lebanon, syria, iraq and yemen. getting played was a naive but optimistic and, dare i say, humane option that they could afford to take. pity that they were dealing with the great satan and now the price must be paid in lebanese lives.

  • someone @ me if we get footage of a merkava getting

    by a golf cart