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S-500 is kill
  • We rolled out the Patriot when it was still in a prototype, half-baked stage in Iraq, too -- just that it was all we had that might be able to intercept a ballistic missile, and we really needed the capability right then -- and it didn't fare well either.

    About 9% intercept ratio during Desert Storm, which was 30 years ago, but both the Patriot and the Al Hussain missiles were pretty much brand new. S400 is a decade and a half newer than ATACMS though.

    Patriot did (a lot?) better in Iraqi Freedom, but the exact numbers are all over the place.

  • I wish I was as bold as these authors.
  • LLMs work differently, statistically predicting the next token (roughly equivalent to a word) based on all those that came before it, and parameters finetuned during training.

    Which is what a parrot does.

  • Nuclear isn't perfect, but it is the best we have right now.
  • I mean, spent fuel is actually quite lethal when not packaged, but you get something like 300-400MWh out of a kilo of fuel. And that's significantly more than I'll use in my lifetime.

    I'd gladly keep a kilo of dry-casked spent fuel in my house. It'd make an excellent coffee table or something, if a bit hard to move. I would absolutely not put a lifetime supply of benzene anywhere near my house.

    Edit: it would make a shitty coffee table. 1 kilo of uranium oxide is just under 100ml

  • Nuclear isn't perfect, but it is the best we have right now.
  • Oh yeah, you could totally just leave it in a giant pool and ignore it. It'll react, evaporate and eventually break down into cyanide again, rain down, subtly poison the area, react again, evaporate again, etc.

    And that's great for the owner of the big pool of cyanide, and very bad for everyone else. Stuff that evaporates doesn't disappear, the cyanide doesn't magically change into cookiedough. You're just spreading it around more.

  • US Navy nuclear ballistic missile submarine surfaces off Norway in unusual flex as 'Doomsday' plane flies overhead
  • If Russia and the west start shooting eachother, one of four things will happen.

    1 - Russia grows a brain and backs down when they horribly lose a conventional war. (Unlikely, unless someone takes command authority away)

    2 - Russia kept their nuclear arsenal up to date, and a tiny remnant.of humanity gets to enjoy the Stone Age again. It won't hurt if you live in a city though.

    3 - Only a tiny fraction of their nukes launch, and the west responds proportionally. A lot of people die, but at least we'll fix global warming.

  • Nuclear isn't perfect, but it is the best we have right now.
  • That's uhh, not what that says. One of the two mentions of half life are your body converting cyanide into thiocyanate, which will kill you and depending on your last bowel movement, make your corpse into hazardous waste itself.

    The other mention is hydrogen cyanide in air, which is lighter than air and will decompose back into cyanide eventually, scattering it over a large area. Which will technically make it go away from your site, but spreading toxic waste over the countryside is illegal for a reason.

  • Nuclear isn't perfect, but it is the best we have right now.
  • Hi, I work in waste handling, and I would like to tell you about dangerous materials and what we do with them.

    There are whole hosts of chemicals that are extremely dangerous, but let's stick with just cyanide, which comes from coal coking, steel making, gold mining and a dozen chemical synthesis processes.

    Just like nuclear waste, there is no solution for this. We can't make it go away, and unlike nuclear waste, it doesn't get less dangerous with time. So, why isn't anyone constantly bringing up cyanide waste when talking about gold or steel or Radiopharmaceuticals? Well, that's because we already have a solution, just not "forever".

    Cyanide waste, and massive amounts of other hazardous materials, are simply stored in monitored facilities. Imagine a landfill wrapped in plastic and drainage, or a building or cellar with similar measures and someone just watches it. Forever. You can even do stuff like build a golfcourse on it, or malls, or whatever.

    There are tens of thousands of these facilities worldwide, and nobody gives a solitary fuck about them. It's a system that works fine, but the second someone suggests we do the same with nuclear waste, which is actually less dangerous than a great many types of chemical waste, people freak out about it not lasting forever.

  • Hiding read posts?

    There are a whole bunch of options to mark posts as read, but as of yet, I can't seem to find an option to actually hide to posts.

    Am I missing something, or does marking a post just grey it out?

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    Tar_Alcaran @sh.itjust.works
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