Mainstreet polling, April 13
| Party Name | Seats (Current) | Seats Change | Percentage (Current) | Percentage Change | Majority Probability | Minority Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liberal | 183 | +23 | 43.6% | +11% | 70.5% | 15.7% |
| Conservative | 138 | +19 | 43.2% | +9.5% | 5.7% | 8.1% |
| Bloc | 14 | -18 | 3.5% | -4.1% | 0% | 0% |
| New Democrat | 6 | -19 | 6.2% | -11.6% | N/A | N/A |
Blows my mind that there are so many morons out there that would vote Conservative - especially these days where the party has gone full mask-off.
Like fuck bud, go move to the USA where the shithole has already been well established, leave Canada alone!
There seem to be a lot of people in this country who either hate themselves or their families enough to still want to vote Conservative after all they've seen in the States. With the lunacy going on with PP, Smith, etc... just such a devastatingly poor choice for this country and everyone in it. Don't do this to yourself, please.
An amazing number of people think "I'm mad at Liberals" = "The cons must be better"
"I'm mad at the Liberals"
NDP support crashes.
"I like this new Liberal guy!"
NDP support crashes.
There's more to the dynamic than just "Liberals bad".
My son started a game where he flips off all the houses with conservatives signs lol. Totally fair since the signs are a big "fuck you" to his future.
Reminder that the polls for what amounts to the popular vote is not the whole story. You have to look at it riding by riding.
That said. Please vote.
Regardless of the polling numbers. Dont forget to VOTE!!
You can vote most days at most Elections Canada Offices across Canada before April 22nd. There's also the advanced polling days as well and other ways to vote.
Ways to vote -> https://www.elections.ca/content2.aspx?section=vote&document=index&lang=e
Keys dates related to the upcoming election -> https://www.elections.ca/content2.aspx?section=kdt&document=index&lang=e
Literally just dropped my ballot 5mins ago. Registered to vote from abroad, so got the chance to send it away early. Could have sent it last week, but had to look into candidates a bit more before I cast my vote.
As far as I remember, during the BC provincial elections in the fall, Mainstreet consistently indicated the BC United (conservative) party was around 5 points ahead of the NDP in polling.
The others generally showed it to be a dead heat.
In the end, the NDP won a very close race and Mainstreet was shown to be the one overrepresenting conservative vote intentions as compared to the other pollsters.
Not sure what the differences were in their methodology, but it wouldn't surprise me to see the same thing going on here.
Did they decide to collect data at church this morning? Or is this the fallout from the "stop the steal" thing?
Stupid prank. Fire the low life’s and move on.