The geography of generative AI’s workforce impacts will likely differ from those of previous technologies
As the generative AI race heats up, it’s important to examine where in the U.S. the technology might boost or harm workers, or if place even matters.
It's an interesting idea. If their thesis is true, it might cause compression of the income range.
I read an Economist article about the expected impact of AI on worker productivity and it found a major bifurcation of impacts.
If AI output could be trusted as is, productivity gains mainly went to less productive workers as they were able to benefit the most from a tool doing the hard parts of the job. This could reduce wages since you can lower job requirements by using AI.
If AI output needed human processing and review, productivity gains mainly went to high performers as they were able to benefit the most from a tool doing the easy parts of the job. This could reduce employment as high performers can do more by using AI.
Working in the field I think there is two things AI will make an impact on:
However, I suspect we'll get a lot of the issues we saw with "outsourcing" where the end result is businesses pursuing cheaper outputs without concern for quality.