Bulletins and News Discussion from September 23rd to September 29th, 2024 - The War In The North
Bulletins and News Discussion from September 23rd to September 29th, 2024 - The War In The North
Image is of a Hezbollah missile attack on a military camp west of Jenin.
The situation between Hezbollah and Israel is rapidly escalating, with massive bombing campaigns on southern Lebanon by Israel predominantly on civilians (as the tunnels in South Lebanon are mostly unreachable to the Zionists, just like in Gaza), while Hezbollah and its allies respond with missile attacks predominantly on Israeli military facilities. Israel is spreading an evacuation order to the residents of southern Lebanese villages while also bombing their routes of escape and civilian infrastructure, similar to a terror tactic used widely in Gaza.
Northern Israel is currently under military censorship to hide their losses, so we get very little information other than what the Resistance provides and what videos and images get through the censors.
I don't know if Israel will dare a ground incursion soon, but it seems fairly likely in the coming days or weeks.
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Last week's thread is here.
Israel-Palestine Conflict
Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:
UNRWA reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.
English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.
English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.
Russia-Ukraine Conflict
Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict
Sources:
Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.
Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.
Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:
Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.
https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.
Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:
Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.
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I have a really bad feeling about Sayyid Hassan Nasrallah and that Beirut strike...
He might be alive, he might be dead. I've seen rumors for both scenarios. I am firmly anti-defeatist and anti-doomer but once bitten, twice shy - I remember how the situation around Raisi's helicopter crash went, with rumors from "official" sources about how he was alive that then turned out to be incorrect, which confused the entire situation to a massive degree. While we waited for official news, different factions vied over creating narratives from very few facts, as we see in the media right now. But with how Israel loves to assassinate people, I have basically pre-emptively accepted and internalized the potential deaths of most Resistance leaders and figures so as to get the mourning process over with sooner and recognize that those who replace them shall continue the job with great vigor.
But this isn't Lord of the Rings where defeating the leader of the army causes all their empire and soldiers to crash into nothing. This goes both ways - killing Israeli commanders and leaders will not cause the IDF to evaporate either. Assuming he is dead, just as with the pager terrorist attack, Westerners (and some people in this thread) will go "It's over, the walls are closing in, Hezbollah has been defeated," and then Hezbollah will continue functioning without significant interruption, and they'll go "Ah, well, nevertheless..." and wait until the next major strike. It is clearly a durable organization that has survived decades and many assassinations by Israel. Hezbollah will survive and thrive regardless of who sits at its helm, and it is the combined product of every leader and commander; in that sense, they never truly die.
Nonetheless, I do sincerely hope that Sinwar and Nasrallah live to see a free Palestine. They deserve nothing less, and infinitely more.
I feel the same way. There is a high likelihood that when this is all overwith, high profile Resistance leaders like Nasrallah, Sinwar, maybe Khomeini will have been murdered. Prepare now mentally and emotionally.
And remember, at least IMO the reason why Israel wants to kill Nasrallah is not because they think it will change the calculus of the situation or that Hezbollah will be rendered ineffective (at least the smart demons in Israeli leadership). They want to kill him because they know killing him will provoke Hezbollah and maybe push them to try and go on the offensive - I think Israel knows that militarily, they are better off fighting a defensive war than the other way around.
I don't know man, I'm not worried about the leadership or the continued existence of the Resistance, but Nasrallah is/was Nasrallah, he's the resistance, he's the voice of it, he's the man that defeated Israel twice. It's just hard emotionally, It's really hard to process.
That's why you don't get invested in individual leaders of hezbollah. It is a proxy in a wider struggle that bet on gradual strangling of the zionistsl state despite knowing that the zionist state was built on mass genocide
Because of no hezb statement yet? Agreed, feels like when the helicopter went down
This feels exactly like the Soleimani strike, I don't have a good feeling at all
Apparently he's unharmed and in good health?
It's very obvious from the tone of the posts on Resistance channels that he's not, I hate this so much
I’m an atheist but in case there’s something out there I am praying for yours and your familiy’s safety (and for the ultimate victory of the Resistance of course).
