It's Possible Harris and Trump Tie 269-269 in the Electoral College.
It's Possible Harris and Trump Tie 269-269 in the Electoral College.
www.270towin.com
Electoral College Ties - 270toWin
As this recently updated article discusses, while extremely unlikely, given the way this timeline is going it's possible the electoral college ends in a tie. Nate Silver projects this as a .3% possibility.
Things to think about:
- Only about half of the states require their electors to vote for the person that won their state. Who are the electors? Generally no one you know.
- If there's a tie, the House elects a president and the Senate elects a VP. Sub-consideration: it is the composition of the House and Senate after the November election that makes those determinations.
- This would all technically be decided on January 6th. And you remember how that went last time.
Regardless, it's highly unlikely this will happen. Still, this would be utter and complete madness. There is literally a non-zero chance we have a Trump/Harris administration. 🤣
The dems really need to focus on getting rid of the electoral college. It has cost them too many elections where they have won the popular vote.
It can't really be removed because it's part of the Constitution. That would take an amendment and the bar for doing that is just too high right now.
There is an alternate plan for states to just agree to cast their EC votes for whoever the national popular vote winner is, but that plan doesn't kick in until enough states agree that total to 270.
Currently sitting at 209:
https://www.nationalpopularvote.com/written-explanation
Republicans have shown, you don't need to amend the Constitution. You just need to appoint the people who "interprete" it.
You never know until you try. I mean look at Republicans — they’ve been beating the anti-abortion drum since Phyllis Schlafly. And now abortion has been made illegal. Maybe the dems should at least start talking about it rather than just accepting defeat.
We could just do the representatives like we used to and the EC works again.
The objective of NPVC is great, but it won't work. If it ever comes online (which is incredibly unlikely), it will be immediately repealed the very first time it would actually have any effect, by every state that finds itself with electors voting against their own electorate. It probably wouldn't even pass judicial review since it explicitly requires electors to ignore their own constituents in favor of the nation as a whole.
It's a pipe dream.
The Republicans haven’t won the popular vote for the Presidency since George W. Bush’s second term, and he was riding a high from his post-9/11 actions; he lost the popular election to Gore the first go round. The last time a Republican won the popular vote for their first term was George Bush Sr. in 1988.
And there are accusations the Ohio 2004 election was rigged for Bush.
https://www.cbsnews.com/news/republican-it-guru-dies-in-plane-crash/
But that would mean doing something that doesn’t immediately benefit the rich. No can do.