Experts

This is pretty much what I was arguing before it happened.

Never been so glad to be so wrong.

Twitter is such a great site to read threads. all you need to do to understand what's happening is to read in order of 5, 4, 1, 3, 2.

I get the logic was sound at the time but the logic seems to assume that this is all a game with predefined rules and strategy.

Like yeah, incumbents typically won before, but would that hold up when everyone had an audible groan about voting for Biden?

I feel like most of political strategy could be replaced by just trying to understand the people voting, rather than bundling up correlations into strategy and blindly following them.

Like I feel like if you talked to most random average people, they'd have told you about the oppressive hopelessness they're feeling. Maybe they don't know why they feel that, but the general mood from everyone is that nothing's actively good is going to happens.

So of course getting a new candidate with a hope themed campaign will reawaken our passion, incumbent be damned.

I still argue this point.

It's like

You know, this is risky and we can't afford this risk

but it was great

but risk is more than anecdotes

The odds are the odds; and those expressing concern know the odds. For god's sake, we mandate smoke detectors, people.

Having said, that, of course I hope this changed effort succeeds in preserving democracy so we can vote on issues we should be able to debate -- whether a seditious felon can try to run the country should be a brief joke before we confirm people have rights and safety and health and well-being and other detail-ridden goals we should have been addressing in the last decade instead of this mess.