Year-over-year inflation reached its lowest level in more than three years in July, the latest sign that the worst price spike in four decades is fading and setting up the Federal Reserve for an interest rate cut in September.
Year-over-year inflation reached its lowest level in more than three years in July, the latest sign that the worst price spike in four decades is fading and setting up the Federal Reserve for an interest rate cut in September.
Don't worry they removed that cost metric from the CPI. That and any other metric that might actually be inflationary 😅. Don't you feel better though? 2.9% !
They abuse the market mechanics. Same as banks. This is why the carry trade is so levered up. Our borrowing rate here is far higher than in Japan so they are backing Japanese borrowing with US assets for additional leverage and then loaning to us investors against that capital. It's a clusterfuck.
The economy is important. Rates will go lower to protect that.
Central banks I think need to consider a higher neutral rate. Interest rates were too low for too long to try and move GDP growth. In retrospect not a great policy, as it led to a decade or so of inflation in stocks markets and housing.
Why do anything of value if I can just leverage at low rates and dump borrowed money into stocks and real estate?
Central banks tend to be arms reach from government, but maybe they should be doing less and the government more.
GDP growth low? Invest in infrastructure and research.
High inflation? Increase taxes.
The economy is doing ok though, inflation is still up. Wallstreet wants lower rates, but listening to them got us extended 0% that ultimately was bad for the economy.
Interest rates going up and forcing over leveraged companies into bankruptcy is also good for the economy.
The AP clearly has no idea how to read charts or infer data. The rate cuts aren't coming. CPI is still over or target rate of 2% YoY... and we are down a massive (checks notes) .1% from 3% after they mutilated the calculations to get the 3%
It's not moving. Sticky inflation. Stagnant. Stag-flation if you prefer.