11mo ago

Impacts of the Paris agreement on predicted global temperature increase as of 2100

12 comments

While this data is very interesting I think it's way too cluttered to be beautiful
- I agree. Plus I am unsure if there would be a way to make the data more readable or if I'm just too dumb to read that properly.
- I won't say you are wrong but 0.9°C savings is pretty fuckin beautiful to me
  It's bittersweet but it's more than I thought it was
  
  I don't know if I'll call it a 0.9 savings. Kinda like how if you brought something you didn't need because it was on special - just 0.9 not-as-bad.
It’s good to hear 2C is still achievable. However, I wonder if this takes into account recent evidence that climate sensitivity may be higher than previously believed? I doubt it, since this is still an unsettled question.
- I think it is probably pretty "optimistic" and not reflective of the actual on course outcome, yes
  On the other hand, I suspect that the original picture before the Paris accords was also probably pretty optimistic, so the idea that we already cut down 0.9°C is probably right around on target. That's way more than I thought, and gives me some level of hope that what we have accomplished isn't totally a bag of lies and garbage.
  But yes, we're on course for absolute apocalypse, with or without sudden emergency action. Very much so, and even still.
  
  I’m still hopeful we can avoid total apocalypse. The most likely outcome I’ve seen is major economic disruption and human migration, famines, etc. but probably not total global collapse. But only time will tell.
So we just need three more of those and we're good.
I actually think the optimistic scenario will be possible if oil sources and prices become too chaotic or weaponized for geopolitical reasons to make the largest importers Europe, India and China go hard green for national security, not just sustainability policy.

12 comments