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Bulletins and News Discussion from April 22nd to April 28th, 2024 - The Scramble For Africa: Green Edition - COTW: Democratic Republic of the Congo

Image is from this Washington Post article, which shows the Shabara artisanal mine, where cobalt and copper are dug out by hand.


This preamble got much of its information from this article in ROAPE, and this article in People's World.

Countries in the imperial core have increasingly advocated for Green New Deals, whose primary goal is to re-attract manufacturing capability to somewhat counter deindustrialization, and then export some of this renewable energy generation to other countries to gain profit. Just as the initial wave of industrialization was built on massive resource exploitation of coal and iron and then oil, this wave is being built on exploiting metals like lithium, cobalt, and rare earth elements. The DRC is one of the best case studies on the planet for understanding the new dynamic.

The DRC is, to your average Western country, a resource bonanza. It is the 11th largest country by land area, and contains lithium, copper, and cobalt in massive quantities, famously containing two thirds of the world's known cobalt supplies. The Western world and their institutions swarmed the DRC like piranhas, dismantling the Congo's sovereignty over its natural resources. China was not terribly involved in the privatisation process, but has stepped in to benefit from the West's work - Chinese corporations account for 40% of the production of major Congo cobalt projects (and 15 out of 19 cobalt mines), with Switzerland at 30% via Glencore, and Kazakhstan at 22%. The US, for whatever reason, withdrew from majority ownership of some projects in the mid-2010s, but is now anxious about China's position in the cobalt markets. Western countries in general have spent their time lately drawing up critical minerals strategies both to keep capitalism chugging along in their own countries, and attempt to weaken China, which invariably involves the Congo.

The Congo has attempted to resist imperialist encroachment. In 2018, the Kaliba administration asserted a new Mining Code which raised tax and royalty rates and increased state ownership in mining firms from 5% to 10%, and these changes were bitterly resisted by the West right to the end. Since 2019, under the Tshisekedi administration, the government established the state-owned EGC, which sought to take control over the processing and export of artisanal and small-scale cobalt production, which comprises 5-15% of cobalt production in the Congo. More recently, Tshisekedi is planning to move up the manufacturing chain - instead of merely mining cobalt, they want to refine it there and then make electric vehicle batteries and other such products with it, which would be an industry worth trillions of dollars. But so far, there hasn't been much movement away from having mining exports as the backbone of the economy, and it's doubtful that plans to just keep doing this until they get rich enough to build refineries and factories will work. The profits mostly go to Western countries and have failed to produce significant benefits for Congolese workers, nor resulted in the emergence of domestic industries so far. Reforms will help a little, but only a little, and they remain fundamentally constrained by the markets and the whims of the West.

Meanwhile, war and mass displacements have put immense stress on the country. There are 7.1 million displaced people in the DRC due to various conflicts and mass displacements - most recently, the war between the Congolese army and M23. Hundreds of thousands of people continue to be displaced every few months, and across the whole country, over 26 million require humanitarian aid. 6 million people have died in the eastern DRC in the last three decades, with hundreds of armed groups, both domestic and foreign, battling for resources and territory.


The COTW (Country of the Week) label is designed to spur discussion and debate about a specific country every week in order to help the community gain greater understanding of the domestic situation of often-understudied nations. If you've wanted to talk about the country or share your experiences, but have never found a relevant place to do so, now is your chance! However, don't worry - this is still a general news megathread where you can post about ongoing events from any country.

The Country of the Week is the Democratic Republic of the Congo! Feel free to chime in with books, essays, longform articles, even stories and anecdotes or rants. More detail here.

Please check out the HexAtlas!

The bulletins site is here!
The RSS feed is here.
Last week's thread is here.

Israel-Palestine Conflict

If you have evidence of Israeli crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA daily-ish reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news (and has automated posting when the person running it goes to sleep).
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.

Various sources that are covering the Ukraine conflict are also covering the one in Palestine, like Rybar.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful. Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


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  • New independent election polls are out for South Africa. Elections are just over a month away. For context, the new MK party (black) is ex president and ANC member Jacob Zuma's political party he founded a few months ago. Zuma is very popular amongst Zulu people in South Africa. The ANC (yellow) is the current ruling party (was the party of Nelson Mandela back in 1994, now hopelessly corrupt but still progressive in policy), the DA (blue) is the white liberal political party, the IFP (orange) is the Zulu nationalist party, ActionSA (light green) is black capitalism and reactionaries, and the FF+ (dark green) is the bring apartheid back party. The EFF (red) is what I would call leftist populism and based on the personalities of Julius Malema and Floyd Shivambu.

    Source, IPSOS' website

    In short, the ANC and DA's support has stayed steady, and the EFF's support has collapsed with the arrival of Jacob Zuma's MK Party. The tailism and lack of principles amongst the EFF leadership have backfired in spectacular fashion, they've lost almost half of their support to the MK. The EFF went from calling for Zuma to be in jail and to pay back the money stolen through corruption, to trying to court Zuma to join the EFF, and coming up with bizarre polices like exempting the land owned by the Zulu monarch from land reform. All to chase the votes of Zuma supporters. And now that Zuma has started his own party, it has backfired. The EFF has gone from being in a great position, with a high chance of becoming the official opposition and overtaking the DA, to fighting for third with Zuma's MK party.

    Let this be a lesson on why chasing support and votes along the lines of cults of personality and ethnic division will not work for the left. And why tailism should never be attempted. This is why I have been so critical of the EFF as a South African, these political moves have lacked discipline.

    • kitty-birthday-sad

      • Tailism in any type of work is also wrong, because in falling below the level of political consciousness of the masses and violating the principle of leading the masses forward it reflects the disease of dilatoriness. Our comrades must not assume that the masses have no understanding of what they do not yet understand. It often happens that the masses outstrip us and are eager to advance a step and that nevertheless our comrades fail to act as leaders of the masses and tail behind certain backward elements, reflecting their views and, moreover, mistaking them for those of the broad masses.

        • chairman

        Meanwhile Julius Malema, 5 May 2023:

        “We are confident that the numbers are growing and we are not shocked by what Mr Manyi did today by joining the EFF, It is the only organisation that a black self-caring person and self-respecting person will join. He is more than welcome in the EFF and we hope very soon we will welcome Mr President Zuma into the EFF — it's a home of rehabilitation. Anyone who wants to come they are more than welcome,”

        • was zuma like doing good for zulu people despite corruption or is it more like he bought out influencers?

          • The story of Zuma is interesting. The ANC could tell that he was corrupt and power hungry during the 90s, so they tried to snub him from the deputy president position for Mbeki's terms. Zuma outmaneuvered his opponents in the ANC and got this vice president position anyways. Mbeki ended up firing Zuma because he was corrupt, but Zuma used this to become a martyr and victim within the ANC, as Mbeki's neoliberal policies were unpopular amongst a large contingent of the ANC. This martyrdom narrative led to Zuma's successful campaign to become ANC president and then president of South Africa. That is why the ANC and ex ANC members are scared of being too critical of Zuma. They know first hand how he can work the narrative amongst his support base.

            As for why Zuma is popular, it's because he give off the image that he's an unashamed traditional Zulu man that he does not care what other groups think. Zuma doesn't care what white people think, he doesn't care what business leaders think, he doesn't care what the court's think, he doesn't care what the ANC thinks now. He's against white monopoly capital, he's against neoliberal sell outs, he's pro South Africa. When you combine this with Zuma's victimisation narrative, many people relate to him and see themselves in him. "He's one of us that has got to the top even though everyone is against him". Again, this is all image, the reality is very different. In some very limited ways, it is similar to Donald Trump's support in the Southern States.

            However, this all ignores that his corruption, reactionary social beliefs and actions (Zuma has multiple credible sexual assault and violence accusations against him and reactionary social beliefs on LGBT issues) hurt all working class South Africans. And his presidency has done an extreme amount of harm to South Africa.

    • bizarre polices like exempting the land owned by the Zulu monarch from land reform.

      Damn, shame on the EFF. You're supposed to destroy the IFP not join them. I guess MK will basically get all the IFP voters.

      FF+ (dark green) is the bring apartheid back party

      Is this the weird far-right party that wanted to create a mini-apartheid state Nothern Cape? I thought it dissolved when the military dude who led the party basically admited that Mandela actually cared about the white minority and was a good president. jesse-wtf

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