1d ago

Russian ammo depot, reportedly holding 264,000 tons of munitions, obliterated near Moscow

Apparently, Ukrainian drones pushed through and started a chain reaction.

Explosions reportedly continued for hours, and authorities evacuated nearby settlements. Initial reports indicate that the site, previously protected by one of Russia’s densest air defense networks, suffered catastrophic damage.

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adr1an @programming.dev

1d ago

Russian ammo depot, reportedly holding 264,000 tons of munitions, obliterated near Moscow

euromaidanpress.com /2025/04/22/russian-ammo-depot-reportedly-holding-264000-tons-of-munitions-obliterated-near-moscow/

156 comments

I hace no idea how serious a blow this is. Can anyone provide any sense of magnitude for these 264 000 tons of munitions? Like how big a chunk of total ammunition stockpile woukd this be? How big is it compared to current manufacturing rate?
- It feels like I've read how Russia have taken massive losses every day for over two years now. In my book, if you take "massive losses" every day for two years that would mean there's basically nothing left. I get that there daily numbers probably are massive by comparison, but still.
  
  Haven't checked numbers recently but it's at or nearing a million killed and wounded. Not a great number but they have plenty more.
  
  They have people sure, but the logistics to feed and arm them? That I'm not sure
- I'd like to know how this converts to Beirut port blasts.
- It's not that easy to calculate as "munitions" can be anything from artillery shells to ballistic missiles.
  If we assume it's mostly/all artillery shells, it's roughly one month of production. Russia currently produces 250.000 units of artillery shells per month if everything goes right. Russia uses roughly 10.000 of them per day, so it would be almost one months worth of combat.
  If the stockpile contained more of glide bombs and ballistic missiles, the damage is even worse because they are significantly more expensive to produce.
  
  But a unit of artillery shell doesn't weigh a ton.
  
  True, for some reason, I thought of units instead of tons lmao.
  The damage is significantly worse then, probably months worth of production, maybe even a year. A standard shell weighs like what, 45kg?
  
  Don't forget that artillery shells need charges to work. And these weight more than the actual shell.
  
  264.000.000kg/(45kg/unit) = around 5.866.666 units? Just wanted to have the number so others see the impact.
  
  5.866.666 That is ~587 days worth of munitions if 10k a day is a good info mentioned above. bonkers
- Chatgpt thoughts.. With some spot checking on the math seems right.. Here’s the context of 250,000 tonnes of munitions from the Russian side:
  Russia fires 10,000 to 60,000 artillery shells per day, depending on the front.
  A typical 152mm shell weighs around 40–43 kg.
  That means Russia can burn through 1,800+ tonnes per day in peak operations.
  Russian production in 2023 was estimated at 2 million+ shells per year.
  Russia also draws from Soviet-era stockpiles and imports from North Korea and Iran.
  Russian doctrine favors volume over precision. Their artillery-centric strategy relies on overwhelming force rather than accuracy.
  250,000 tonnes equates to roughly 6 million shells.
  For Russia, that’s only about 3–5 months of usage at current intensity.
  
  "only" 😁
  
  Indeed a decent hit!
  
  Love how this is downvoted only for another thread to come to pretty much the same conclusion lol
  
  Blow up 2 more and be done with it
  
  The AI hate is real
  
  In an attempt to be more moderate: i think it is impolite to regurgitate the words of an LLM in a forum where we are expecting the dialogue to be between humans.
  
  They literally only used it to help attempt to calculate the value, said they used AI to do so. There's no excuse besides people see Ai and hate.
  
  That's fair, just realize some of us are tired of online pessimism to such a degree that an AI - telling me there are in fact potential solutions and to keep trying - is actually good for our mental health. I only use Perplexity for research and musings that I sometimes post here to be discussed, not to completely replace human interaction on the Fediverse.
  
  Why do I trust a LLM more than humans? Because the LLM answers me instantly what I want to know. The human changes the subject and then after 10 interactions, they just ghost you.

156 comments