newacctidk [none/use name] @ newacctidk @hexbear.net

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10

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473

Joined

1 yr. ago

Really since Qasim was butchered in 1963. Reading on him is so tragic, like everything went downhill from his death and still hasn't gotten close to that hope spot

I stand by my comments that Iran's defenses being taken down like that is a huge problem and something that should never be able to happen. But the people saying Iran would COLLAPSE made me scratch my head. Iran is not Syria, Tehran could be in ashes and it still would not make the material reality of Iranian society anything like Syria after a decade of civil war.

Like I said the other day, they survived the Iraq-Iran war for a decade of grueling trench combat and atrocities, a serious failure of air defense is bad, but it is not going to break what endured THAT hell.

Honestly I should relisten to the Radio War Nerd ep on Iran-Iraq, good a time as any.

https://fountain.fm/episode/0XsubVEkxzxcRgSieBbo

this link was safe, warning don't click around on random sites for war nerd premium eps, always get pop ups, no way they are safe.

To be fair, Barbarossa was devastating. There is a reason the advance started to be halted once there was a serious reconsideration of strategy. Iran got hit by an espionage attack, those were their failings. The USSR had to face rapidly all the mistakes, poor assumptions, and outdated strategies and solve them in mere weeks. They lost so much of their air force without them even taking off, and had to change their air warfare strategy as a result.

For instance the mechanized corps had been scrapped and their armor divided among infantry units in '39, only for that to be reversed in '40, but not in time for them to be prepared from Barbarossa. All existing reformed mechanized corps were destroyed during Barbarossa, and the rebuild was scrapped. Late '42 new corps that are much more balanced are formed with a new design philosophy. These prove effective.

My point being that Iran had a security failed, a bad one at that. But panic over that is less warranted than panic over Barbarossa. Barbarossa was a genuine defeat of huge proportions. The amount of lives lost in the ensuing fighting, the amount of unforced errors, mistakes, and necessary sacrifices to slow the Germans down are horrific.

Like if someone thought the USSR had lost after Barbarossa, that is a lot more reasonable than thinking Iran was joever because they had a huge security breach. Barbarossa was a series of disasters and the reason they overcame it was because Stalin was great at adapting and because the Soviet people had no choice but to endure. Iran had a security failure, fixed it and then went right along with their expected strategy. No need so far to adapt or even continue enduring a new type of conflict than what they expected.

The Islamic Republic of Iran is performing better is what I am saying

You know what's funny? People rightly compared Prigo to Kornilov. Well there is a theory that Kerensky organized or fabricated the extent of the Kornilov affair in order to cement his own power. I don't really buy that, but interesting that the same theory arose in both cases.

People act like admitting security failures will lessen the retaliatory strikes. Very "speak no evil, hear no evil" attitude. Those first two points come across as such wishful thinking, far more presumptuous than those who saw a bombing go largely unstopped and said "well that was bad, something must've happened to their defenses".

Enemy at the Gapes.....is that anything?

Hope that is just catching up on identifications and not the result of further strikes

Thank Allah for that. Though they are gonna be asking some serious fucking questions about how the infiltration attacks that took them down in the first place occurred. Because defenses being better than expected is great, but is less impactful if we all can see that security failed like that. All eyes on Azerbaijan, no matter what happens between Iran and Israel, we have not even seen the beginning of the fallout from THAT.

also we need an Azerbaijan cool emote

Yeah they fall into that quite a bit. Gary does that when praising Vietnam a lot. They also fall into some generalizations, like they have a neat point about ranchers vs riverine people or whatever the specific divide is, but they take it to the extreme when describing why tribes and ethnic groups have conflicts.

I love the guys, but they generalize a LOT

Good news, though the "for now" is terrifying

damn they made that fake Paris from WW1 without anyone knowing

They yearn for fireballs

Indian chicken actually makes the most sense, even if it is not a chicken. Turkey comes from it tasting like quail served in Turkey. So at least that is actual location (outdated term for Native American) and another bird

"New missile just dropped"

Iraq about to enter the cool zone

So.....next year in Tel Aviv?

The second one sent me. This is what I was saying yesterday. Iran survived a modern trench war for a decade. They know how to endure

Nice to see them back online

To quote the man Uncle Ho referred to as one of his great inspirations

It is not those who can inflict the most but those who can endure the most who will conquer.

Hard to do when their facilities are burning, even with no leaking thank god. That's what sucks, even if they are ready to do so now, it will take a long while before they can be ready