Zaktor @ Zaktor @lemmy.world

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2 yr. ago

He's pleasantly surprised me, but taken some pretty unforgiveable actions (breaking the rail strike, Title 42) and still isn't the man for the job (continually reinforcing norms while conservatives ignore them for advantage). This is better than I expected, but still not great.

But he's the guy we have and as much as I wish it was someone else, there's no real path to changing that. If AOC endorses Kamala Harris in '28 we can start to talk about her losing her fight, but the people talking about primarying Biden are just detached from reality or, as you said, bad faith actors.

Defederation is a one-way block of incoming traffic from the blocked instance. I'm on lemmy.world and can still see Beehaw content posted by Beehaw users even though they've defederated from lemmy.world, but if I comment on that content it will only be visible to lemmy.world users. Beehaw has protected its communities from lemmy.world commenters, but its content is still accessible by anyone for any purpose. Instances that federate with both sides don't change this.

If you're not on mas.to that link will just collapse back to a lemmy.world view.

I don't think the Fediverse has privacy as a primary feature. If federating is enough to grab some hidden data, it's a simple matter to set up a small dummy instance to get that access.

Ok, what environmental benefit did he gain for us from compromising on his executive authority, Mr. Politics Understander?

Approval of drilling projects is an executive decision. The president doesn't need to compromise with anyone in making those decisions.

I mean, he doesn't really have direct power to control the court, but the court is vulnerable and responsive to public opinion and he could do more on that front. We have justices themselves saying the court is acting unconstitutionally and Biden's putting out statements worried about how expansion would "politicize" the court. The more worried they are with their legitimacy the less bold they are in their rulings.

I think lots of Democrats could beat Trump, but none of them could beat Biden in a primary. He's the incumbent and he's just not disliked enough for people to abandon the sitting president.

I thought Biden and Bernie were both too old in 2020, but people could entirely consistently consider 78 (Bernie 2020) "not too old" and 81 (Biden 2024) "too old". Both of them have gotten older since Bernie was being considered for the role of president.

The kicker to this is that Kennedy was also super progressive. The whole statement doesn't really make sense to politically engaged Americans either, it was just a "The Party allowed a progressive to challenge a progressive". Ted Kennedy was a powerful enough politician that the party didn't need to allow him to run. He was basically royalty (brother of John F. Kennedy) and an untouchable institution in the state he represented. Carter had really terrible approval ratings (28%) and Kennedy had presidential ambitions.

It's getting downvoted for the "crazy left wing" part, not the "what has Biden done wrong" part.

My expectation is that Threads will be too permissive with rules rather than too strict. They're pretty happy to have LibsOfTikTok on there so they can make money from the stochastic terrorism. The problem I see is that their size means defederation for insufficient moderation isn't a real threat, so federating instances are stuck with per-user moderation and will be overwhelmed with Threads trolls.

I suppose it ends up being "their rules are our rules", but in a "there are no rules and you'll accept it" sort of way, rather than "adhere to our community standards or we'll take away 90% of your users".

Yes, I'm talking about what Threads users may see. It's not clear how the Threads Algorithm will evaluate and prioritize showing Mastodon toots, but even less clear how it will prioritize message-board-like Lemmy content. It may not ever show them because it's very possible it will either filter or devalue non-microblogging post types to fit with its native format. Whether or not they technically Federate is only half the question because they have the Algorithm deciding what you actually see.

So you’re trying to talk about two different things and joining them together. On one hand being the heir apparent, and on the other having the president keel over.

They're intimately related because keeling over can happen in close proximity to an election. I never viewed Biden as heir apparent for Obama, maybe others did, but it didn't matter because there were plenty of other choices and he'd still have a full primary cycle to be tested and discarded if he ate too much shit to be elected. I'm not even sure he would have beaten Clinton if he ran.

If Biden keels over 1 year from now, we're in deep shit, and his chances of doing so are MUCH higher than other recent presidents. Pretending that Biden has the same negligible risk of leaving office early as any other president is the whole problem with their approach.

And with Threads Algorithm controlling what you see, it's not even clear that subscribing would show you them. This is a much more meaningful decision for the Mastodon instances.

I'm not real sure how much the Threads Algorithm is going to pass through Mastodon content (and even less sure if it will even be able to pass through Lemmy content). I think the much more valuable aspect is you can pitch your Threads friends that they can move to the Fediverse and actually get to choose what content they see rather than which influencers paid Meta to fill up your feed.

Yeah, but there's a real difference when that VP is a Joe Biden or Dick Cheney who didn't really have an expectation to be the heir apparent, and when the president is old enough that not finishing a term is a real possibility. There's an uncomfortably high (though still low) chance Biden actually has to be replaced on the campaign trail, and while that's never a good thing, it's a lot worse when you've saddled your VP with tasks like solving immigration and getting voting rights passed when she never really had the power to do either of those things. "Eats shit on tough issues so the president doesn't have to" is a valuable service from a VP, but not if you want people to be ready to accept her at any moment as a drop in replacement.

If the Republicans put forward anyone under 70 they better keep Biden away from stairs for the entire election cycle. Voters are way too dumb to rationally evaluate "really old" vs. "fascist" if they have video of one thing and just vague warnings of the other. I don't think it's a sure thing he'll lose, but it's a very real possibility in an environment and cycle where it really shouldn't be.

2020 was an open primary and the two biggest progressives in that race (and reasonably argued the two most prominent progressives period) have both ruled out running against Biden. Who's the next strongest challenger on that list, Julian Castro? You're not unseating an incumbent president who's been just sort of middling with a no-name.

And you're spamming the same post across the comments here, you shouldn't be surprised if you see a pattern in the responses.