All the cartel has to do is wait until it's above 90 or below 40 and roll into giant free land grab where the local opposition doesn't even have electricity and there is less than zero coordination because every single individual considers themselves a lone wolf that doesn't need to work with other people.
I desperately want to hear a bunch of people who just voted to succeed plead with the government to come help them because they didn't think this through literally 10 minutes past holding the vote.
Another immediate consequence would be water. Current interstate agreements on water rights would be voided and need to be renegotiated. So day one the rest of the US and Mexico could just stop the flow of water into Texas with damn near zero recourse
Mexico should obviously take back all the land stolen from it in the war, but it should also go farther and maybe do a warsaw pact type deal with Canada to divide it.
Texas is a paper tiger. The entire state is privatized to the brim. This means that while they own a bunch of guns, they don’t have the opportunity to really train because they’re only allowed to shoot in indoor ranges or a private outdoor range, usually both with overly strict restrictions. This is particularly true in many red states.
In blue states, there’s usually large swaths of public land that allows you to actually LARP as a militiaman without owning land privately because it’s free. There have been Californians and PNW chuds moving to Texas only to realize they can’t shoot more than 1 shot per 20 seconds anywhere
The cartel already came in and took over all the free unincorporated land while they were debating toning down the racism for long enough to try to work out an agreement with Mexico.
Cursed alliance with Cuba and Nicaragua. The Second CSA starts working with cartels (more than they are now) to import fent and use the funds to rebuy the weapons they’ve sent to Mexico and send them to Cuba and Nicaragua for a Red Dawn style invasion of the blue states
Texas is already owned by Saudi Arabia. Secession would just mean instead of being a bunch of Christian fascist managed set of Saudi owned refineries and ports it would be a cartel managed set of Saudi owned refineries and ports.
It would be so funny if there was a Wolfenstein scenario but it’s Saudi flags everywhere in the Deep South, and you have some oil baron faux sheikh criticizing the KKK’s Arabic pronunciation