To me, this article seems to be arguing that Trump will probably end up in the General election, but will lose by a wide margin because he has become more extreme and has pending legal action against him. I would say this sounds pretty similar to what many argued in 2016, though circumstances are admittedly very different now. What hasn't changed is my lack of faith in a large percentage of the American population who either don't vote or vote in hatred.
It's weird how people still bring up 2016 like 2020 didn't happen. I get it, we can't know for sure and people got burned that one time. But he's hardly a winner.
In fact he lost the popular vote both times and the candidates he backed during the midterms lost for the most part. His entire track record is losing.