1w ago

Israel’s War Against Iran: The Dangerous Ambition for Remapping the Middle East

eng.globalaffairs.ru

This think tank article pretty bluntly argues NATOids had foreknowledge of Al-Aqsa Flood. Did they have a clear picture of what kind of attack would be taking place? I've never seen a really convincing thorough argument for it, but as a devoted member of the 9/11 fanbase I feel obligated to read all of them. What do you think? If so, was it a strategic error to allow the attacks, considering the price the west ended up paying? I think since True Promise III it's harder to say they're in control of this situation due to the level of losses proportional to MIC production

What strengthens the assumption that there is a comprehensive, premeditated plan is a fundamental question regarding the origins of these developments – specifically, the October 7 Hamas attack on Israel. The question is this: How could a country like Israel – with its extensive intelligence penetration into its regional adversaries, from Hamas and Hezbollah to Iran, and its proven capacity to assassinate highly protected figures (including multiple Hamas leaders, senior Hezbollah officials such as Hassan Nasrallah within one week, and over 30 senior Iranian military commanders and nuclear scientists in a single night) – have failed to detect an operation involving over 1,000 Hamas fighters?
Was Israel, with its surveillance capabilities, truly unaware of such a large-scale attack being prepared – especially given that Hamas had been training for the October 7 assault for more than a year? Could it be that not a single informant existed among those 1,000 fighters, or that Israeli intelligence was unaware of their movements and preparations?
The answer is that yes – Tel Aviv, Netanyahu, and even the United States were fully aware of the impending attack. What they lacked was not intelligence, but a sufficient pretext – a dramatic, high-impact trigger to justify the launch of their broader regional agenda.

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Israel’s insistence on eliminating perceived threats through the use of force – at any time and in any place – undermines peaceful mechanisms for conflict management and resolution, such as diplomacy, international organizations and law.
I think the author is being supremely diplomatic, here. I don't think anyone paying attention perceives any state a threat but Israel, and Israel is because they aspire to claim, "ethnically cleanse" (genocide other inhabitants), and govern the entire Levant the way that mostly placates them, in exchange for being the USA's proxy government, as they did under Roman rule.
In international politics, any attempt to establish hegemony or absolute security inevitably triggers counterbalancing resistance from rival powers. This dynamic lowers the threshold for confrontation and increases the risk of conflict. Some observers already speculate that future tensions between Israel and Turkey may arise. The consequence of pursuing such a strategy will likely be further destabilization of an already destabilized Middle East. One of the traditional ordering mechanisms in the Middle East has been the “Great Powers Management”.This mechanism is now being weakened by Washington’s unilateralism and its unconditional support for Israel and its manipulation of regional balance in favor of it. This approach is likely to prompt other great powers to seek new alignments and influence strategies, thereby intensifying competition and instability across the region.
Isn't that the plan?
https://information-warfare.com/the-memo-that-outlined-u-s-plans-to-overthrow-7-countries-in-5-years-4f9451a68f5e
Clark stated that the officer showed him a memo from the Secretary of Defense’s office outlining plans to attack and destroy the governments of Iraq, Syria, Lebanon, Libya, Somalia, Sudan, and Iran.
Given these obstacles and challenges, not only is the regional strategy of Israel and the United States unlikely to succeed, but their plans concerning Iran are also unlikely to be realized.
For the love of anything holy, or good, or decent in this world, I can only pray this is correct.
Moreover, regardless of the extent of success achieved in striking Iran’s nuclear and missile facilities, one of the immediate consequences of Israel’s and the US preemptive and preventive attacks is the shift in Tehran’s nuclear strategy – from its current “nuclear threshold” toward “nuclear ambiguity.”
Iran and Yeman must not fall. I hope Russia and China will help bolster them. Surely they have noted the later assessment in the article, and have made some sort of plans. I do believe, however, that both Russia and the United States are stretching themselves a bit thin. Qatar, UAE, and KSA alignment with the West is a concern not to be taken lightly.
But what do I know? I'm just some rando on the internet, trying to free myself a bit from a lifetime of multigenerational liberal propaganda and ideology.
It's not a secret at all that israel knew about the raid beforehand.
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/11/30/world/middleeast/israel-hamas-attack-intelligence.html
https://www.middleeasteye.net/news/israeli-army-knew-hamas-plans-report-finds
- I've read this garbage already. I'm not as obsessed with glazing Al Jazeera, MEE, Haaretz, and 972mag as most "communists" online
  
  I think it carries a bit more weight for liberals who would dismiss outside sources as propaganda, while handwaving away repeated evidence (Snowden, Assange,, Manning, Young for example) of liberal outlets being propaganda outlets.
  
  Huh, what are you saying? Literally all the sources you mentioned have consistently done tons of great coverage on Gaza? And "reading a report" is not "being obsessed with glazing".
I think I believe any non - US aligned entity a whole cargo ship load more than any entity aligned. I only got a bit through this and will have to finish it tomorrow, but I can already taste bile rising in my throat. It seems a lot more plausible than what we've been fed. Also I remember stux and flame, USA - Israeli collaboration. Iran tells the world what they plan and don't deviate. USA and Israel have a long history of throwing bricks and hiding their hands.
I've been wishy washy about whether Israel controls USA or vice versa, but I'm thinking USA controls, but Israel has leverage, and plenty of it.
Replying now so I can find this later. Good find, good share. Thank you.
Eta: and it puts Schumer's comment about making sure the USA stays loyal to Israel look a lot differently, now.

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