The Scholar Who Predicted America's Breakdown Says It's Just Beginning
The Scholar Who Predicted America's Breakdown Says It's Just Beginning
www.newsweek.com
Professor who predicted 2020s unrest sees US sliding deeper into crisis
29 comments
-
-
Tl;dr: buckle up, buttercup
-
Every "scholar" has been predicting the downfall of society since the beginning of time. What makes this one any different? The old "end is nigh" gambit for views and clicks. We need news to come back, not conjecture. Jack Webb said it best "Just the facts, ma'am.".
-
I mean, one of them is bound to be right eventually...
-
But that doesn’t mean any follow-up predictions they make or solutions they offer or even explanations they have are right.
It’s the Texas sharpshooter fallacy we commit every time we point to an expert for making a correct prediction and using that as a reason to trust anything else they say. This is because countless experts make predictions all the time and if we ignore all the wrong ones then we need to account for the fact that one of them may be right due to pure chance.
-
-
His paper has been published on Nature… this because everyone can say the “end is nigh” but few people can come with mathematical models for showing it 🙂
-
Yeah this “scholar” is just every millennial who was told to sit down at stfu by every adult in our lives even now that we’re the adults it hasn’t changed
-
-
It’s a long, long way down and there’s no climbing back so wave bye bye
-
Great. Here's hoping this round of instability meaningfully undermines the Great Satan.
-
I enjoyed listening him when was interviewed at this podcast https://www.thegreatsimplification.com/episode/164-peter-turchin
His methodology and arguments are quite reasonable and sounding.
I would recommend
-
-
Doomsday cults have been around forever. Goes back to the Puritans. This isn’t new.
-
There were apocalyptic Jewish sects for thousands of years before Christ. Heck, John the Baptist was an apocalyptic Jew that Christ respected. That is why there's even a reference to the apocalypse in the Bible. I personally blame the bronze age collapse, and the green Sahara ending.
-
Right but I’m talking about the roots of America, and the first settlers who influenced where America is today.
-
-
29 comments
Dude. We all saw this shit coming. A blind man could have seen this coming.
You might've seen shit coming, but most Americans just don't want to accept that the world they're used to is crumbling. It's annoying af.
Not really. Perhaps people could foresee some dissatisfaction with Trumps presidency, but this article is talking about a longer trajectory, as in building towards all out civil war.
I don't think that's a generally held opinion amongst americans.
In fact it's quite common, most people I know were expecting civil war when the turd won the second time.
you can say anything is just beginning and there's no way to prove you wrong
chunes@lemmy.world ‘s reign of terror is just beginning.
Unfortunately not all of us saw it, and some even still vehemently refuse to accept it