Sure, for people who pay attention and / or care. But sadly I think the real comparison with be:
Ease to get started:
Mastodon - Learn what a server is, find a server, create an account.
Threads - Just download it. You probably already have an account without realising.
It's going to do well.
Sure, it's mostly going to be celebs, brands and 'content creators' but that'll still mean a lot of people. And folks will go where the people are.
Personally, I'm hoping BlueSky just dish out 10 invites per user and bring in people to that infrastructure. It looks like a good middle ground between fediverse and simple Twitter experience.
As long as instances defederate from them we should be just fine. I already know Beehaw is defederating from them so we're good here, and the instance of mastodon I'm on isn't federating with them. So just look up your instance's stance on the subject and join one that's making the right call. Then you know the communities you're building won't get Zucked
yeah thats what I plan on doing! I hope you're right and I'm just being paranoid. thankfully a lot of other instances are defederating from threads too... hopefully it'll be enough at least to keep a small part of the community safe
optimistically, the fact that zuck is even trying to take over the fediverse means he sees it as a threat. we've been already doing well enough without their "help" and it scares him