Not really surprising and honestly a little disheartening because traditionally Republicans usually vote on election day. Looks like another indicator that somehow, given all the information available on both candidates it's going to be a close race. I'm sure Harris will win the popular vote but it'll again come down to the swing states and the electoral College.
The article does correctly point out, for what it's worth, that Republicans are trying to get out the early vote this year. Overall, it notes, Harris is 45%, Trump 44%. 52% Trump, 35% Harris on Election Day, approximately half of voters.
Nope. Republicans vote early too. They have been moving to early voting Besides, Harris has this. Professor Allan Lichtman actually has a proven scientific method that works all the way back to 1860. He has arguably predicted the last ten elections accurately. He predicted a Trump win in 2016 - only he and another predicted person that. ALL the polls were massively wrong.
Iirc he thinks Harris will win, but he also thought replacing Biden was a bad idea for the dems before it happened, which given how badly he was polling, makes me somewhat skeptical.