As someone who consumes a lot of ancient history, it can also make you like “Ah yes, another city rises, another is displaced by climate disaster, and another falls due to land mismanagement. ‘Tis the way of things.”
It's true. I wonder how many ancient Babylonians, Greeks, Chinese, Egyptians, Persians, Romans thought:
"Surely, this empire will last forever! Look upon our works, ye mighty, and despair!" (EDIT: LOL It appears we're all of one mind remembering this poem. We must be doing something right. XD)
Especially in modern times it's insanely difficult to imagine the geopolitics shifting drastically, but it's happened before, it's happening now. The difference being that the rest of the globe is now much more invested in your shenanigans with your neighbors, but it's still happening.
What does one do amidst a regime change?
I'm glad I've never had to seriously consider it until now.
...but it unnerves me that I probably need to start.
Herodatus wrote narratives more than he wrote histories.
The definitive 'beginning of history' is "The History of the Peloponesian War" by Thucydides, highly recommend, well written and accessible even now and spells out the politics very clearly and explicitly.
Both sides calling the others Nazis doesn't imply that centrists are using critical thinking. It just means that one side is lying. Nazism is a far right ideology.
"Never believe that anti-Semites are completely unaware of the absurdity of their replies. They know that their remarks are frivolous, open to challenge. But they are amusing themselves, for it is their adversary who is obliged to use words responsibly, since he believes in words."
I've been working through a few biographies of the top brass of Nazidom, and even with the rather perfunctory understanding I've gained from these books of Hitler's seizure of power and all that followed in Nazi Germany, my ears are pricking up in horror every day as I listen to the latest news from around the world. And I'm not even going so far as the Holocaust. If the Holocaust and WWII never happened, the Nazi regime would still have been an unmitigated nightmare.
The language certain politicians are using is plucked directly from the mouths of Goebbels' and Himmler's rotting corpses. How can they not see what lies ahead if they continue with this shit? We know how this story ends. We have examples of it from recent memory, we don't even need to cast our minds back to the 1930s 🤷
The language certain politicians are using is plucked directly from the mouths of Goebbels’ and Himmler’s rotting corpses. How can they not see what lies ahead if they continue with this shit?
What's even more infuriating is that when you try to point this out to others, they act like you're insane/exaggerating.
...because most don't study the rise and causes of what happened. They only study the result. "Never again" refers to the holocaust, but nobody puts that sign on the the road that led to it.
Wealth disparity and inflation
Fear of "others" taking what little people have
Traumatized populations from decades of war
With populations scared and desperate, they'll latch on to any demigogue that appears.
Germany for example. The AfD is gaining more and more support by using phrases like "This development that is happening right now, creation of mixed populations to destroy the national identity and thus give our autonomy to the EU - that is simply not bearable!", "Such humans we should of course dispose of", "When a [n-word] in my neighborhood coughs at me, I have to know if he is sick or is he not sick." or "The reason why we are being flooded with culturally foreign people like Arabs, Sinti and Roma is the systematic destruction of civil society." https://www.volksverpetzer.de/analyse/10-rechtsextreme-zitate-der-afd/
Others are old and mentally ill, and care only for what power they can gain in their remaining few years, regardless of what that will bring later.
Others are merely useful, and go along with whoever is currently in power.
Others are afraid, so they do not oppose the changes, for fear of losing what they have, and desperately cling to hope that something else will stop the worst from happening.
Others...
and on and on it goes, just as it did before, just as it ever was, and quite frankly, now I see that so will it ever be.
Those who don't learn from history are doomed to repeat it.
Those who do learn from history are doomed to look on helplessly as everybody else repeats it.
And due to such things as gerrymandering, we all get to share in the outcome.
Another thing that "they" say:
A stitch in time saves nine
It is not for me to judge exactly, who was not quite there, but very little of what has been done has been performed in secret. People have been watching, and yes even warning us, every step of the way. Now, people are shocked, Shocked I say, SHOCKED, but... we should not be. We all knew, or at least were warned, about the consequences, we simply chose to ignore it all.
e.g. Brexit looks to be something that can never be undone - as in even if it were technically to be done, the UK will never hold such a place of prominence again. It will fade into obscurity, eventually counting itself lucky to join the EU on whatever terms the latter will choose to dictate at that time.
And the USA looks likely to not survive to see that happen - in its current form at least. Assuming that Trump loses the upcoming election, which seems still roughly 50% at this juncture, the Supreme Court shenanigans, the absolute, I mean near-total brokenness of Congress, and the very next election in little more than 4 years time still await. And this time, whoever sits atop the Executive Branch will have the legal authority to assassinate all of their political rivals. Like Brexit, this is by no means over and done, and we can still go so much lower from here.:-(
Which might not be such a bad thing after all, to replace a broken system with a better one, but I do worry about this transition period.
Hegel remarks somewhere[*] that all great world-historic facts and personages appear, so to speak, twice. He forgot to add: the first time as tragedy, the second time as farce
I really have begun to believe that politicians should employ historians to give advice on certain political events by drawing comparisons to previous situations.
That only really works in a benevolent dictatorship. In a democracy, the masses can vote for reality-rejection candidates.
It's a pity democracy seems to be better than all the alternatives in practice, cause in principle there should be ways to improve things more. Inevitably though all other forms turn into draconian crap. Well, democracy does sometimes too, but less often.
Systematic historical thought emerged in ancient Greece, a development that became an important influence on the writing of history elsewhere around the Mediterranean region. The earliest known critical historical works were The Histories, composed by Herodotus of Halicarnassus (484 – c. 425 BCE) who later became known as the "father of history" (Cicero).
Now how many people had access to this knowledge is another matter, but studying history and learning from it was an important aspect in the education and training of leaders to be since more than a thousand years at the very least.
If we look at Moses and the Pharaoh as well as ancient Greek democracies, we can conclude that the principles of politics have not changed all that much in the past 3000-4000 years of human history. The knowledge was always there and the same mistakes are always repeated, with some very incremental progresses and regressions in between.
Herodatus wrote narratives more than he wrote histories.
The definitive 'beginning of history' is "The History of the Peloponesian War" by Thucydides, highly recommend, well written and accessible even now and spells out the politics very clearly and explicitly.
Ah, that one was warped somewhere between Atrahasis and Gilgamesch epos and then again to bible. Might not be historically accurate (it's unlikely that he existed).
They so often did though, how many massive fires broke out in London before the great fire finally convinced them to stop building overlapping thatched rooves.
Even during The Plague of Justinian scholars wrote about what was essentially ancient social distancing practices, 2000 years ago later we still can't do it properly.
How many times did they have to put up with rat plagues and stinking open cess pits, followed by a big town clean up, and then nothing change in infrastructure or waste management practices, only to do the whole clean up again ....until the Great Stink got to close enough to the windows of parliament that those in power decided maybe they should address the root problem instead of applying bandaids every few years.
(I don't have a history degree so I'm pulling these details out of the memory depths of my dusty documentary viewings, and I'm probably wrong.)
I’m sure they had some knowledge. It’s just that the priests foretold victory in the course chosen by the leaders, the gods are with them! So off they go to war and conquest or whatever.