Russia says US support for Ukraine will end as ‘humiliating fiasco’ like ‘Vietnam and Afghanistan’
Russia says US support for Ukraine will end as ‘humiliating fiasco’ like ‘Vietnam and Afghanistan’
The Kremlin warned that American support for Ukraine could turn into a decade-long folly, urging the U.S. to not oppose its invasion of the country as Congress appears set to pass a $60 billion aid…
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The Kremlin warned that American support for Ukraine could turn into a decade-long folly
If I were to bet, it would be that the US can keep this up for a decade more-readily than you can.
I don't think that this is going to keep going for a decade, though.
Russian industry produces 500 or 600 new tanks and maybe a little more than a thousand new fighting vehicles every year. The Russian military loses more than a thousand tanks and close to 2,000 fighting vehicles every year—and the loss rate is increasing.
There’s a gap—one the Kremlin fills by pulling out of long-term storage tanks and fighting vehicles dating back to the 1970s, or even the ’60s or ’50s in some cases. But these old vehicles are a finite resource. Built during the Soviet Union’s industrial heyday, they cannot be replaced with new production.
Ominously for the Russians, the most recent projections anticipate that, as early as mid-2025, there won’t be any more old tanks and fighting vehicles left in storage. “Time is running out for Russia,” wrote Artur Rehi, an Estonian soldier and analyst.
“Time is running out for Russia,” wrote Artur Rehi, an Estonian soldier and analyst.
That's the phrase we hear for years now. It shouldn't be taken into consideration. A country of 140mil and 1\4 of land that won't back off can fight for a very long time until it runs out of resources or people. After two years it sounds like a copium and a reason to just sit and wait, while another country's clocks are ticking faster.
Besides, isn't China already selling ammo to them? I could very well see China selling vehicles to Russia in large quantities, even on loan – and all it will take is Russia to become even more of a Chinese satellite state.
We tried sitting this out and it didn't work. Ukraine's new approach of actively making Russia hurt looks more promising.
Not China directly, but Iran and NK as proxies. Some Chinese banks stopped processing russian businesses' payments since the start of this year. They don't want to risk their 50% of market in EU and US over merely 3% purchases from Russia, so they themselves started to clean the room.
Russia becoming essentially a Chinese satellite was always how this ended. The question is how much damage is done along the way and how well our nice little international status quo fares in the meantime.
Oddly less scared of China running Russia than I am of Putin running Russia
I guess it's because the Chinese government at least hasn't seemed insane enough to make me seriously ponder if we're about to see nuclear armageddon
All other things being equal, there are no benevolent dictators. One more powerful one isn't an improvement on two weaker ones.
Well the other option would be a quick NATO operation against the russkis in Ukraine but for some reason no one want to take this route, so were kind of out of options here. I would favor a direct hit against Russia in Ukraine anytime. It would end this war quick, would cause a devastating blow against Putin and I personally think that Russia wouldn't use any nukes, as they are their life insurance and also their big bluff against the west.
What that operation would consist of?
What that operation would consist of?
It could have different stages depending on the current situation on the battlefield. First could be to secure the airspace over Ukraine, so that we provide air support against rockets, drones, jets and helicopers of the Russians and see what they do next. If they keep the war going the next stage could include the use of JDAM's or even an armored naval, ground and aerial approach against the russian forcees in the east and south of Ukraine to drive them back to their degenerated motherland.
Last stage would the implementation of a (temporary) defense zone against russia, "peace" and reperations talks and of course the inclusion of Ukraine into the NATO so Russia will think twice about starting this again. Then we will watch what happens in Russia and see if there will be changes for the better so we can try to reestablish our relationships with them. And if not we can keep the sanctions up and let Russia float into insignificance.
I thought your proposed swift response would be less conventional than continuing the land war but with unlocked NATO DLC. I think it would face even more scrutiny than the fast leader-snatching operation and can cause currently undecided countries step in on russian side.
I thought your proposed swift response would be less conventional than continuing the land war but with unlocked NATO DLC
Well with "unlocked NATO DLC" this operation would be swift one. Russia is barely making progress against Ukraine and loosing a lot of soldiers and equipment, what do you think will happen when a real threat enters the battlefield?
and can cause currently undecided countries step in on russian side.
Why join a loosing party or risk a global crisis if the war is only located in Ukraine and has the only goal of driving the russian forces out of the country. Why would someone join the fray to support the russians when it's all about ending their degenerate "special operation"? I would agree to you when it's against Russia itself, but in this case it would only be against the forces of Russia in a land that is not Russia. I don't see the benefits for China or anybody relevant. Maybe Iran will join, but those dipshits wold join everything that is against the west...
There's many of aging dictators around who'd see the fall of russia as being in danger themselves, or seeing NATO being temporally occupied there, thus acting irrationally. No one touches Iran for it's stable and don't put much trouble, even Syria is somehow not worthy attention now. And if there'd be a probability of waves of coups or perceived danger of being displaced, NATO risks the need to be deployed here too for it'd hurt way more than whatever these authoritarian regimes do now. It won't be a symmetric warfare, but random acts of terror and civil wars, imagine Kosovo 2.0. Africa already have some of them, relatively bloodless, some like Houthis or Myanmar never really stopped and can be reignited anew. That's one of the reasons NATO doesn't act in full, they perceive this region as a keg of black powder. And they don't want take responsibility for so much problems at once, as after WW2 when they semi-successfully deprogrammed Germany and Japan via occupation, they had a hard time in Balkans, and recently left Afghanistan for talibs.
Well with "unlocked NATO DLC" this operation would be swift one. Russia is barely making progress against Ukraine and loosing a lot of soldiers and equipment, what do you think will happen when a real threat enters the battlefield?
Total mobilization, zerg rushes until there's no one to send, heavy losses on the superior army's part too, and it counts it's losses more strictly since Nam, a lot of budget spendings relocated towards replenishing stocks that would probably kill some candidates in democratic countries, weird position in terms of what to do with these two countries after the guns stop shooting that's still far away from today, thus these politicians can sleep at night. You seem to downplay these things. Besides, current Ukrainian and Russian AF practice warfare now, and even without shiny toys, they manage to use cheap tech efficiently, while using the full might of the US MIC, even just one Abrams, is a logistical puzzle and a costy endeavour. Air and water superiority are examples of what none of them can manage, and there NATO can put it's weight, but in the field those troops who are currently deployed and survived for years are more experienced than whoever NATO can send. They can teach how to use advanced weaponry right, but there weren't a conflict like than in Europe for a long time.
I've seen some lingo in your answers that paints russian threat as a joke, so if you'd want to answer, first, tell me how ukrainians call opposing side's soldiers, and how russians usually call them back. This two year massacre is a tragedy and I don't want to talk to someone who sounds like they read to much /k/ another evening. With all due respect.
This two year massacre is a tragedy
you mean 10 years and ongoing...
you mean 10 years and ongoing...
Talking like it's even comparable.
In Maydan times there were brigades of russian martial arts goons in Kiyv, there was Berkut working for a kremlin's tool who then left, there was a FSB support of coups in regions, but there was nothing like this meatgrinder even in the most heated phase. According to statistics, it died off almost completely until the 2022 invasion and that became a routine to civilians who didn't lurked in a subway underground for days like they did in 2022.
Seriously, it's just like crying about 8 years of Donbas. You are either ill informed or have an agenda. Ten years narrative is irrelevant to you unless you actually took your part in fighting back then. You try to take the higher moral ground, but you can't put your facts straight. And you replied without an answer to my questions. It seems like you are from Germany or Austria. So you don't have any stakes here either way.
Ah there is our comrad, downtalking the murdering uf Ukranians since 10 years now. I don't care if the scale has increased, Russia is killing Ukranians for 10 years now and this invasion is going on since 10 years now and it just got worse and worse. And you seem to be the one with an "agenda" if I may say so, talking everything down, making Russia greater then it is, using videogame terms for a war...
It seems like you are from Germany or Austria. So you don’t have any stakes here either way.
German with ukraninan origin and an ukraninan father, so I have my stakes in this and I don't need a someone like you to tell me what stakes I should have, so now be so kind and fuck off.
JDAMs, mostly.
They won't solve everything, but yeah, they would put a lot of pressure.