Context for the 2nd bullet point is that he claimed he "wasn't close to 80" when he's 78 and he said "Energy is so big. It's so like amorphous. It's all over the place. If you make donuts, it's a stove"
Yet despite all this, because American elections are rigged and follow a nonsensical, non democratic system; he is favored to win by over 20 points. lol what a shithole country.
The only thing close to 20 point spread is betting odds, which are probably less reliable than polling, which says they're neck and neck. So we'll see.
You're forgetting about the quiet undermining of the election across many states and the supreme court who will ultimately decide this election (for trump)