What's up with people saying the results of the Venezuelan elections are "statically impossible"?
What's up with people saying the results of the Venezuelan elections are "statically impossible"?
I'm not good at math, but people keep passing this chart around in 
But I keep seeing people in the comments debating whether this is actually "impossible" or not, using stats terms I'm not familiar with. Also idk the source of this graph so maybe it's bs.
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alright so I'm bit a of a genius so I'll try one explanation (BTW I've never looked at seen these numbers or this controversy until now).
Somebody rounded the percentages for normal aesthetic reasons (no idea if done by a person manually or spreadsheet formal in excel, intentionally or not).
The spreadsheet software is configured to show extra zeros (significant digits, trailing zeros) or somebody typed in those zeros for padding (no idea if done by a person manually or spreadsheet formal in excel, intentionally or not).
Either way, you have the raw numbers on the left so you can do the math and see
4,445,978 / 10,058,774 = 0.4419999893.This is definitely being parroted by people don't understand math or stats, but they understand that George W Bush has 11 letters (therefor did 911), and this is just another one of those for their collection of parrot songs.
The spreadsheet software is configured to show extra zeros (significant digits, trailing zeros) or somebody typed in those zeros for padding (no idea if done by a person manually or spreadsheet formal in excel, intentionally or not).
Either way, you have the raw numbers on the left so you can do the math and see 4,445,978 / 10,058,774 = 0.4419999893.
No. This is wrong. Don't confuse people. To give five decimal places after the number of percentage points it's 51.20000% etc.
In each of the three cases, it is within one vote of the exact 51.2%, 44.2%, 4.6%. It couldn't be more on-the-button without fractional votes, where you chop Venezuelans up into bits and take the bits to the polling booth.
It's more likely they just released the rough percentages and someone natively did the reverse calculation.
no but if you look at things like The Birthday Problem, things that seem unlikely become inevitable once sample size grows (e.g. this is far from their first election).
This is still George W Bush has 11 letters (therefor did 911) tier level of evidence standing alone without any substantial evidence (that I am aware of).
George W Bush has 11 letters (therefor did 911)
You seem trustworthy. I'm in.